About This Market
Traders give Ethiopia about a 53.0% chance. Central African Republic follows at 38.0%, South Sudan follows at 36.3%, and Nigeria follows at 29.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 38.0 percentage points.
Traders give Ethiopia about a 53.0% chance. Central African Republic follows at 38.0%, South Sudan follows at 36.3%, and Nigeria follows at 29.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 38.0 percentage points.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026. The market resolves based on confirmed reports of Ebola cases from January 1, 2026, through the end of that year, with odds fluctuating based on outbreaks and public health responses in various regions.