Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Kansas?
Live prediction market odds for Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Kansas?. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Adam Hamilton (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and PredictIt are tracking which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Kansas.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and PredictIt are tracking which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Kansas. The market resolves based on the official election results announced after the polls close on November 17, 2026, with odds fluctuating based on candidate announcements and campaign developments leading up to the election.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Adam Hamilton (D)WINNER | Yes |
Roger Marshall (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Kansas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from Kansas. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Predict.funThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
The market resolves on November 17, 2026, when the official election results are announced.
Candidate announcements can lead to significant shifts in market odds as traders react to perceived strengths or weaknesses of the candidates.
Polymarket and PredictIt are the platforms currently tracking the Kansas Senate election market.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
