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Live prediction market odds for Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

2026-12-31

Best price · tap to trade

Petr Yan61¢1.64xKalshiMerab Dvalishvili39¢2.56xKalshiSong Yadong2¢50.00xKalshi
Compare all 8 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Petr Yan about a 60.3% chance. Merab Dvalishvili follows at 37.0%, Song Yadong follows at 2.2%, and Sean O'Malley follows at 0.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.

Traders give Petr Yan about a 60.3% chance. Merab Dvalishvili follows at 37.0%, Song Yadong follows at 2.2%, and Sean O'Malley follows at 0.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking who will hold the UFC Bantamweight championship at the end of 2026. Factors such as fighter performance, injuries, and match outcomes will heavily influence the odds as the championship landscape evolves over the next few years.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
PY
Petr Yan
60%
Kalshi61¢
Polymarket63¢
Kalshi1.64x61¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
60.0%60¢61¢39¢40¢
PolymarketPolymarket
60.5%58¢63¢37¢42¢
MD
Merab Dvalishvili
37%
Kalshi39¢
Polymarket36¢
Kalshi2.56x39¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
39.0%37¢39¢61¢63¢
PolymarketPolymarket
35.0%34¢36¢64¢66¢
SY
Song Yadong
2%
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket4¢
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.4%1¢4¢96¢99¢
SO
Sean O'Malley
1%
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket2¢
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.9%1¢2¢99¢99¢
CS
Cory Sandhagen
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢1¢99¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Petr Yan

Petr Yan is the current UFC Bantamweight Champion, having reclaimed the title on December 6, 2025, by defeating Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323. Previously, he held the UFC Bantamweight Championship in 2020 and was an interim champion in 2021. His recent victory over Dvalishvili underscores his relevance in the prediction market for the UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026.

About Merab Dvalishvili

Merab Dvalishvili is a Georgian-American professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's bantamweight division. He became the first Georgian-born UFC champion by defeating Sean O'Malley for the bantamweight title in September 2024. Dvalishvili is relevant to this prediction market as he is a leading contender for the UFC Bantamweight Championship at the end of 2026.

About Sean O'Malley

Sean O'Malley is a professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Bantamweight division. He became the UFC Bantamweight Champion in August 2023 by defeating Aljamain Sterling at UFC 292. O'Malley is relevant to this prediction market as a former champion aiming to reclaim the title after losing it to Merab Dvalishvili in June 2025 at UFC 316.

About Cory Sandhagen

Cory Sandhagen is a professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's bantamweight division. He has secured notable victories over fighters like Rob Font and Deiveson Figueiredo. His recent performances position him as a strong contender for the UFC Bantamweight Championship by the end of 2026.

About Deiveson Figueiredo

Deiveson Figueiredo is a Brazilian mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's bantamweight division. He is a former two-time UFC flyweight champion, having engaged in a notable rivalry with Brandon Moreno. Figueiredo's experience and championship pedigree make him a strong contender for the bantamweight title by the end of 2026.

About Umar Nurmagomedov

Umar Nurmagomedov is a Russian professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's bantamweight division. He is the cousin of former UFC lightweight champion Khabib Nurmagomedov and trains under his guidance. As of March 2026, Nurmagomedov is considered a leading contender for the UFC Bantamweight Championship, making him a key figure in this prediction market.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ESPN
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracleufc.com
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.0%
Platforms2
Candidates8
Leader

Petr Yan

60.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Merab Dvalishvili is the UFC Bantamweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
ESPN
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracleufc.com

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the UFC Bantamweight championship market?

Odds are influenced by fighter performance, injuries, and upcoming match results. Changes in rankings and fight outcomes can lead to significant shifts in market prices.

How often do the odds update for this championship market?

Odds for the UFC Bantamweight championship market update in real-time as new information becomes available. This includes fight announcements, results, and any relevant news regarding the fighters.

What is the significance of the Bantamweight championship in UFC?

The Bantamweight championship represents one of the most competitive divisions in UFC, showcasing top-tier talent. Winning this title can elevate a fighter's career and marketability significantly.

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Petr Yan: 60.0¢ on Kalshi, 60.5¢ on Polymarket; Merab Dvalishvili: 39.0¢ on Kalshi, 35.0¢ on Polymarket; Song Yadong: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 2.4¢ on Polymarket; Sean O'Malley: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.9¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Yan's Title Odds Drop 11 Points Before Dvalishvili TrilogyYan's year-end title probability fell from 64% to 53% in three days. Dvalishvili already owns a win over the current champion and gets his rematch October 24.Sep 27, 2026Merab's Title Odds Drop to 28% Ahead of UFC 333 Yan RematchBack-to-back losses pushed Merab to 28%, down 9 points in 3 days. Umar Nurmagomedov's looming title shot adds a second path that bypasses him entirely.Sep 13, 2026Song Yadong KOs Umar Nurmagomedov, Lifting Petr Yan to 58% TitleYan's probability of holding the bantamweight title through 2026 jumped 8 points to 58% after Yadong's KO removed Nurmagomedov from the title queue before year-end.Aug 30, 2026Petr Yan Title-Retention Odds Rise to 57% After UFC 323 WinMarkets still price a 43% chance Yan loses the belt before Dec. 31, 2026. The 11-point climb from 46% follows his unanimous-decision win over Dvalishvili.Aug 26, 2026

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista

Resolved

2026-07-12

LOSTCory Sandhagen
Pre-event: 56%

Prediction Market Track Record

Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario BautistaLOSTPre-event: 56%