UFC Bantamweight Champion 2026 Odds - Petr Yan 97%

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Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Live Markets

2 platforms

OutcomeConsensus

Kalshi

Polymarket

Best price

PY

Petr Yan

97%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	96.0%	95¢	97¢	3¢	5¢
Polymarket	97.6%	96¢	99¢	1¢	4¢

SO

Sean O'Malley

2%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	2.5%	2¢	3¢	97¢	98¢
Polymarket	1.1%	0.6¢	2¢	98¢	99.4¢

PT

Payton Talbott

single venue

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	—	0¢	1¢	99¢	100¢

SY

Song Yadong

0.15%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	—	0¢	1¢	99¢	100¢
Polymarket	0.2%	0.1¢	0.2¢	99.8¢	99.9¢

CS

Cory Sandhagen

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	—	0¢	1¢	99¢	100¢
Polymarket	—	0¢	0.1¢	99.9¢	100¢

Kalshi

Polymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Petr Yan

Petr Yan is the current UFC Bantamweight Champion, having reclaimed the title on December 6, 2025, by defeating Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323. Previously, he held the UFC Bantamweight Championship in 2020 and was an interim champion in 2021. His recent victory over Dvalishvili underscores his relevance in the prediction market for the UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026.

About Sean O'Malley

Sean O'Malley is a professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Bantamweight division. He became the UFC Bantamweight Champion in August 2023 by defeating Aljamain Sterling at UFC 292. O'Malley is relevant to this prediction market as a former champion aiming to reclaim the title after losing it to Merab Dvalishvili in June 2025 at UFC 316.

About Cory Sandhagen

Cory Sandhagen is a professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's bantamweight division. He has secured notable victories over fighters like Rob Font and Deiveson Figueiredo. His recent performances position him as a strong contender for the UFC Bantamweight Championship by the end of 2026.

About Deiveson Figueiredo

Deiveson Figueiredo is a Brazilian mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's bantamweight division. He is a former two-time UFC flyweight champion, having engaged in a notable rivalry with Brandon Moreno. Figueiredo's experience and championship pedigree make him a strong contender for the bantamweight title by the end of 2026.

About Merab Dvalishvili

Merab Dvalishvili is a Georgian-American professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's bantamweight division. He became the first Georgian-born UFC champion by defeating Sean O'Malley for the bantamweight title in September 2024. Dvalishvili is relevant to this prediction market as he is a leading contender for the UFC Bantamweight Championship at the end of 2026.

About Umar Nurmagomedov

Umar Nurmagomedov is a Russian professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's bantamweight division. He is the cousin of former UFC lightweight champion Khabib Nurmagomedov and trains under his guidance. As of March 2026, Nurmagomedov is considered a leading contender for the UFC Bantamweight Championship, making him a key figure in this prediction market.

About Aiemann Zahabi

Aiemann Zahabi is a Canadian mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's bantamweight division. He holds a professional record of 14 wins and 2 losses, with notable victories over José Aldo and Marlon Vera. Zahabi is scheduled to face former bantamweight champion Sean O'Malley on June 14, 2026, at UFC Freedom 250.

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Merab Dvalishvili is the UFC Bantamweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic Oracleufc.com

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the UFC Bantamweight championship market?

Odds are influenced by fighter performance, injuries, and upcoming match results. Changes in rankings and fight outcomes can lead to significant shifts in market prices.

How often do the odds update for this championship market?

Odds for the UFC Bantamweight championship market update in real-time as new information becomes available. This includes fight announcements, results, and any relevant news regarding the fighters.

What is the significance of the Bantamweight championship in UFC?

The Bantamweight championship represents one of the most competitive divisions in UFC, showcasing top-tier talent. Winning this title can elevate a fighter's career and marketability significantly.

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Petr Yan: 96.0¢ on Kalshi, 97.6¢ on Polymarket; Sean O'Malley: 2.5¢ on Kalshi, 1.1¢ on Polymarket; Payton Talbott: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; Song Yadong: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.2¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.