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Live prediction market odds for Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

2026-12-31

Best price · tap to trade

Alexander Volkanovski55¢1.82xKalshiMovsar Evloev46¢2.17xKalshiDiego Lopes2¢50.00xKalshi
Compare all 9 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Alexander Volkanovski about a 50.8% chance. Movsar Evloev follows at 47.3%, Diego Lopes follows at 1.1%, and Jean Silva follows at 1.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Traders give Alexander Volkanovski about a 50.8% chance. Movsar Evloev follows at 47.3%, Diego Lopes follows at 1.1%, and Jean Silva follows at 1.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking who will hold the UFC Featherweight championship at the end of 2026. This event is pivotal as it reflects the evolving dynamics of fighter performance, injuries, and match outcomes in the highly competitive UFC landscape.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
AV
Alexander Volkanovski
51%
Kalshi55¢
Polymarket52¢
Kalshi1.82x55¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%50¢55¢45¢50¢
PolymarketPolymarket
51.5%51¢52¢48¢49¢
ME
Movsar EvloevARB
47%
Kalshi46¢
Polymarket49¢
Kalshi2.17x46¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
46.0%45¢46¢54¢55¢
PolymarketPolymarket
48.5%48¢49¢51¢52¢
DL
Diego Lopes
single venue2%
Kalshi2¢
—
Kalshi50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%0¢2¢98¢100¢
JS
Jean Silva
2%
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket2¢
Kalshi33.33x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%2¢3¢97¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.3%0¢2¢98¢100¢
AS
Aljamain Sterling
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢1¢99¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Alexander Volkanovski

Alexander Volkanovski is the current UFC Featherweight Champion, holding a record of 27 wins and 4 losses. He regained the title by defeating Diego Lopes at UFC 314 in April 2025 and successfully defended it in a rematch at UFC 325 in January 2026. His ongoing dominance in the featherweight division makes him a strong contender to retain the championship through the end of 2026.

About Movsar Evloev

Movsar Evloev is a Russian professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Featherweight division. He is scheduled to face Lerone Murphy in a title eliminator bout on March 21, 2026, at UFC Fight Night 270. This fight is pivotal in determining the next contender for the UFC Featherweight Championship.

About Jean Silva

Jean Silva is a Brazilian mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Featherweight division. He gained prominence with a first-round knockout victory over Westin Wilson in his UFC debut on January 13, 2024. Silva's dynamic fighting style and rapid ascent in the rankings make him a strong contender for the Featherweight championship by the end of 2026.

About Lerone Murphy

Lerone Murphy is a professional mixed martial artist competing in the UFC's Featherweight division. He is scheduled to face Movsar Evloev in a title eliminator bout on March 21, 2026, at UFC Fight Night 270. Murphy's recent victories, including a knockout win over Aaron Pico in August 2025, have positioned him as a leading contender for the Featherweight championship.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ESPN
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracleufc.com
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.5%
Platforms2
Candidates9
Leader

Alexander Volkanovski

50.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Lerone Murphy is the UFC Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
ESPN
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracleufc.com

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the UFC Featherweight champion market?

Odds are influenced by fighter performance, injury reports, and upcoming match schedules. Additionally, public sentiment and expert analysis can sway market perceptions.

How often do the odds change for this championship market?

Odds can change frequently, especially following major fights or announcements. Significant events, such as title defenses or injuries, often trigger immediate adjustments.

What is the significance of the UFC Featherweight championship?

The UFC Featherweight championship represents the pinnacle of achievement in the division, showcasing the best fighters. Holding this title can greatly impact a fighter's career trajectory and marketability.

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Alexander Volkanovski: 50.0¢ on Kalshi, 51.5¢ on Polymarket; Movsar Evloev: 46.0¢ on Kalshi, 48.5¢ on Polymarket; Diego Lopes: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket; Jean Silva: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.3¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Evloev Gets UFC 333 Title Shot, Odds Jump to 47%A confirmed October bout against Volkanovski pushed Evloev from 38% to 47%, collapsing multiple contingencies into one fight.Sep 7, 2026Evloev's Featherweight Title Odds Fall After He Confirms LightweightEvloev dropped from 46% to 38% in three days. The trigger: he confirmed a 12 kg cut and plans to leave featherweight win or lose at UFC 333.Sep 4, 2026