Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?
Live prediction market odds for Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
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Compare all 12 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give Alexander Volkanovski about a 91.5% chance. Aljamain Sterling follows at 3.2%, Arnold Allen follows at 1.1%, and Jean Silva follows at 1.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Lerone Murphy is the UFC Featherweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Odds are influenced by fighter performance, injury reports, and upcoming match schedules. Additionally, public sentiment and expert analysis can sway market perceptions.
Odds can change frequently, especially following major fights or announcements. Significant events, such as title defenses or injuries, often trigger immediate adjustments.
The UFC Featherweight championship represents the pinnacle of achievement in the division, showcasing the best fighters. Holding this title can greatly impact a fighter's career trajectory and marketability.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Alexander Volkanovski: 90.5¢ on Kalshi, 92.5¢ on Polymarket; Aljamain Sterling: 3.5¢ on Kalshi, 2.9¢ on Polymarket; Arnold Allen: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.3¢ on Polymarket; Jean Silva: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
