Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Live prediction market odds for Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Best price · tap to trade
Compare all 16 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give Ciryl Gane about a 63.8% chance. Josh Hokit follows at 34.2%, Jon Jones follows at 1.0%, and Alex Pereira follows at 0.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tom Aspinall is the UFC Heavyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Fighter performance, injury status, and upcoming matchups significantly impact the odds. Additionally, changes in training camps or management can also affect a fighter's chances.
Odds can fluctuate frequently based on fight announcements, results, and public sentiment. Major events, such as title fights or injuries, often lead to rapid adjustments.
Holding the Heavyweight championship is a prestigious achievement in mixed martial arts, representing the pinnacle of success in the sport. It often garners significant media attention and fan interest.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Ciryl Gane: 61.5¢ on Kalshi, 66.0¢ on Polymarket; Josh Hokit: 34.2¢ on Polymarket; Jon Jones: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; Alex Pereira: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
