Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?
Live prediction market odds for Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Sean Strickland about a 91.4% chance. Anthony Hernandez follows at 2.7%, Caio Borralho follows at 1.6%, and Dricus Du Plessis follows at 1.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.7 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Nassourdine Imavov is the UFC Middleweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Odds are influenced by fighter performance in matches, injuries, and the outcomes of title fights. Additionally, public sentiment and expert analysis can sway market perceptions.
Odds can fluctuate frequently, especially after major fights or announcements regarding fighters' health and training. Real-time updates reflect the latest developments in the UFC landscape.
The UFC Middleweight championship represents the pinnacle of achievement in the division, showcasing the best fighters. Winning the title can greatly enhance a fighter's career and marketability.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Sean Strickland: 91.0¢ on Kalshi, 91.8¢ on Polymarket; Anthony Hernandez: 5.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.3¢ on Polymarket; Caio Borralho: 3.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.2¢ on Polymarket; Dricus Du Plessis: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.2¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
