Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
Live prediction market odds for Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Traders give December 31, 2027 about a 70.5% chance. June 30, 2027 follows at 44.0%, December 31, 2026 follows at 3.5%, and September 30, 2026 follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.3 percentage points.
Polymarket
Predict.funPolymarketPredict.funOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
PolymarketPredict.funThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:16:30.268836418Z
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are December 31, 2027: 70.5¢ on Polymarket; June 30, 2027: 44.0¢ on Polymarket; December 31, 2026: 1.9¢ on Polymarket, 5.2¢ on Predict.fun; September 30, 2026: 0.1¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 3.3 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, December 31, 2027 at 70.5¢ implies about a 70.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
