Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?
Live prediction market odds for Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Best price · tap to trade
Traders give Will GameStop acquire eBay? about a 2.4% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.8 percentage points.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf GameStop announces an agreement to acquire eBay before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The deadline for GameStop to announce the acquisition of eBay is December 31, 2026. Any announcement made after this date will not resolve the market.
The market resolves based on an official announcement from GameStop regarding the acquisition of eBay. If such an announcement occurs before the deadline, the market will settle accordingly.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking this event. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Will GameStop acquire eBay?: 2.5¢ on Kalshi, 2.3¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Smart money is betting against Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Smart money is betting against Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.
Trader up $15K lifetime sold $1.1K of No at 98¢
3h ago
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Trade on Kalshi Trader up $697K lifetime bought $5K of No at 98¢
9h agoWill GameStop acquire eBay?Trade on Kalshi Trader up $164K lifetime sold $1.7K of No at 98¢
1d agoWill GameStop acquire eBay?Trade on Kalshi Trader up $123K lifetime sold $4.4K of No at 98¢
3d agoWill GameStop acquire eBay?Trade on Kalshi Trader up $123K lifetime sold $4.1K of No at 98¢
3d agoWill GameStop acquire eBay?Trade on Kalshi 
