Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027: why do odds differ between prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027: how do prices and payouts work?

For example, Will GameStop acquire eBay? at 6.5¢ implies about a 6.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Kalshi

4.9

Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket / Predict.fun

Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?

2026-12-31

Best price · tap to trade

Will GameStop acquire eBay?7¢14.29x

About This Market

Traders give Will GameStop acquire eBay? about a 6.5% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking whether GameStop will announce the acquisition of eBay before January 1, 2027. The market resolves based on an official announcement from GameStop regarding the acquisition, which would directly impact the odds as developments unfold.

Live Markets

3 platforms

OutcomeConsensus

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict.fun

Best price

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

7¢

8¢

14.29x7¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	7.0%	6¢	7¢	93¢	94¢
Polymarket	6.0%	6¢	7¢	93¢	94¢
Predict.fun	7.5%	7¢	8¢	92¢	93¢

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict.fun

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Predict.fun.

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If GameStop announces an agreement to acquire eBay before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Predict.fun

Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify. An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the deadline for GameStop to announce the acquisition?

The deadline for GameStop to announce the acquisition of eBay is December 31, 2026. Any announcement made after this date will not resolve the market.

What triggers the resolution of this market?

The market resolves based on an official announcement from GameStop regarding the acquisition of eBay. If such an announcement occurs before the deadline, the market will settle accordingly.

What platforms are tracking this event?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking this event. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments.

Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Will GameStop acquire eBay?: 7.0¢ on Kalshi, 6.0¢ on Polymarket, 7.5¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?

About This Market

Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Markets

CA-47 House winner?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

WI-05 House winner?

Calgary Flames vs. Seattle Kraken

Related Markets

CA-47 House winner?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

WI-05 House winner?

Calgary Flames vs. Seattle Kraken

Kateryna Lazarenko vs. Charo Esquiva Banuls

Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?

About This Market

Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Will GameStop announce acquisition of eBay before Jan 1, 2027?

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Markets

CA-47 House winner?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

WI-05 House winner?

Calgary Flames vs. Seattle Kraken

Related Markets

CA-47 House winner?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

WI-05 House winner?

Calgary Flames vs. Seattle Kraken

Kateryna Lazarenko vs. Charo Esquiva Banuls