Traders give December 31, 2027 about a 18.5% chance. December 31, 2026 follows at 6.6% and September 30, 2026 follows at 1.0%. Compare prices from Polymarket, Opinion, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 14.4 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Opinion and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Opinion
Primary Rule
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tempo (https://tempo.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tempo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tempo (https://tempo.xyz/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tempo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Created At: 2026-03-02T13:31:19.484265644Z
Frequently Asked Questions
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ : what does this prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Opinion, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ : what are the current odds?
The latest available prices are December 31, 2027: 18.5¢ on Polymarket; December 31, 2026: 1.5¢ on Polymarket, 15.9¢ on Opinion, 2.5¢ on Predict.fun; September 30, 2026: 1.0¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ : why do odds differ between prediction markets?
The largest price difference shown across venues is 14.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ : how do prices and payouts work?
For example, December 31, 2027 at 18.5¢ implies about a 18.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.