Will the single season passing yards record be broken?
Live prediction market odds for Will the single season passing yards record be broken?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Traders give Will any player break the NFL single-season passing yards record in the 2026-27 season? about a 6.0% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 87.6 percentage points.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf any Pro Football player breaks the individual regular season passing yards record in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Current Regular Season Passing Yards Record: 5477 passing yards - Peyton Manning (2013) In order for the market to resolve Yes, the individual regular season passing yards record must be broken, not tied. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 5,477 passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The NFL single-season passing yards record is 5,477, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 5,477 passing yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 5,477 passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The record is broken if a player surpasses the current single season passing yards total in the regular season. This total is tracked across all games played in the season.
Player performances in games directly influence market odds, as higher passing yard totals in games increase the likelihood of breaking the record. Key matchups and player health also play significant roles.
Trading closes on January 18, 2027, which is the deadline for this market. However, the actual outcome is determined by the player's performance throughout the regular season.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Will any player break the NFL single-season passing yards record in the 2026-27 season?: 6.0¢ on Kalshi, 93.6¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
