Traders give March 31, 2027 about a 89.0% chance. December 31, 2027 follows at 77.0%, June 30, 2027 follows at 72.0%, and December 31, 2026 follows at 60.7%. Compare prices from Polymarket, Opinion, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 57.2 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Opinion and Predict.fun.
Opinion
Primary Rule
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Theo, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Created At: 2026-03-02T13:07:37.688911756Z
Frequently Asked Questions
Will Theo launch a token by ___ : what does this prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Opinion, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
Will Theo launch a token by ___ : what are the current odds?
The latest available prices are March 31, 2027: 89.0¢ on Polymarket; December 31, 2027: 77.0¢ on Polymarket; June 30, 2027: 72.0¢ on Polymarket; December 31, 2026: 39.0¢ on Polymarket, 96.2¢ on Opinion, 47.0¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Will Theo launch a token by ___ : why do odds differ between prediction markets?
The largest price difference shown across venues is 57.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
Will Theo launch a token by ___ : how do prices and payouts work?
For example, March 31, 2027 at 89.0¢ implies about a 89.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.