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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket

Kimberly Birrell Wins: Kimberly Birrell vs. Maya Joint

WTA·Resolved 2026-09-27

This market resolved on 2026-09-27. Kimberly Birrell was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Maya Joint wins the Joint vs Birrell professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Seoul Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Joint vs Birrell professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Seoul Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Maya Joint in Kimberly Birrell @ Maya Joint Finals (WTA); settled by Novig.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Maya Joint and Kimberly Birrell in the Korea Open, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maya Joint' if Maya Joint advances against Kimberly Birrell. This market will resolve to 'Kimberly Birrell' if Kimberly Birrell advances against Maya Joint. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell WTA match scheduled for September 27 at 2:30AM. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, forfeit, injury, or any other cancellation prior to the first point being played, the market will settle to fair market price. If a player retires during the match, the opponent will be recorded as the winner. Outcome sourced from WTA.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Kimberly Birrell vs. Maya Joint prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Kimberly Birrell vs. Maya Joint odds?

The last available prices are Kimberly Birrell: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 98.7¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US, 38.5¢ on Novig; Maya Joint: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US, 63.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Kimberly Birrell vs. Maya Joint odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Kimberly Birrell vs. Maya Joint prediction market payouts work?

For example, Kimberly Birrell at 78.7¢ implies about a 78.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Candidate
Kimberly BirrellWINNER	99%	99%	39%	99%
Maya Joint	1%	1%	63%	100%

Kimberly Birrell Wins: Kimberly Birrell vs. Maya Joint

Kimberly Birrell Wins: Kimberly Birrell vs. Maya Joint

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Kimberly Birrell Wins: Kimberly Birrell vs. Maya Joint

Kimberly Birrell Wins: Kimberly Birrell vs. Maya Joint

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Kimberly Birrell vs. Maya Joint

Frequently Asked Questions

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