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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Leylah Fernandez Wins: Talia Gibson vs. Leylah Fernandez

WTA·Resolved 2026-09-27

This market resolved on 2026-09-27. Leylah Fernandez was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Talia Gibson vs.

Talia Gibson vs. Leylah Fernandez: WTA Tennis match held on 2026-09-27. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market Prices Compare Fees Before You Trade New to Polymarket?

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Talia Gibson wins the Fernandez vs Gibson professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Singapore Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Fernandez vs Gibson professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Singapore Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Talia Gibson in Talia Gibson @ Leylah Fernandez Finals (WTA); settled by Novig.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Leylah Fernandez and Talia Gibson in the Singapore Open, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Talia Gibson. This market will resolve to 'Talia Gibson' if Talia Gibson advances against Leylah Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Leylah Fernandez vs Talia Gibson WTA match scheduled for September 27 at 2:30AM. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, forfeit, injury, or any other cancellation prior to the first point being played, the market will settle to fair market price. If a player retires during the match, the opponent will be recorded as the winner. Outcome sourced from WTA.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Talia Gibson vs. Leylah Fernandez prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Talia Gibson vs. Leylah Fernandez odds?

The last available prices are Leylah Fernandez: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 98.2¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US, 65.0¢ on Novig; Talia Gibson: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 17.7¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US, 36.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Talia Gibson vs. Leylah Fernandez odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 35.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Talia Gibson vs. Leylah Fernandez prediction market payouts work?

For example, Leylah Fernandez at 92.3¢ implies about a 92.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Candidate
Leylah FernandezWINNER	100%	99%	65%	100%	98%
Talia Gibson	1%	1%	36%	0%	18%

Leylah Fernandez Wins: Talia Gibson vs. Leylah Fernandez

About This Market

Price History

Leylah Fernandez Wins: Talia Gibson vs. Leylah Fernandez

About This Market

Price History

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Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Leylah Fernandez Wins: Talia Gibson vs. Leylah Fernandez

About This Market

Price History

Leylah Fernandez Wins: Talia Gibson vs. Leylah Fernandez

About This Market

Price History

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Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Talia Gibson vs. Leylah Fernandez

Frequently Asked Questions