Common questions about prediction market data and how it’s calculated.
Are prediction markets becoming more popular?
Yes. Trading volume has grown sharply through 2026, with monthly totals across major platforms reaching into the tens of billions of dollars. Kalshi and Polymarket regularly appear in national news coverage, and have struck data and distribution partnerships with major names like Robinhood, CNBC, CNN and Google Finance.
What are the top 10 prediction markets?
Kalshi and Polymarket lead by volume, followed by platforms like Novig, ProphetX, and Underdog. The answer really depends on the features most important to you, like range of markets, fees and trading experience. See our list of prediction market apps for a detailed breakdown of each platform’s strengths.
Which prediction market app is the most accurate?
There’s no single answer. Accuracy or calibration will vary by platform, market and time period. Generally, higher liquidity and trading activity mean more stable pricing on event contracts. You can also look at platforms’ price and trade history over time to inform your opinion. Try our Kalshi and Polymarket historical data guide as an example.
Who are the biggest players in prediction markets?
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two largest platforms by volume and user activity, together accounting for the large majority of industry-wide trading. The gap between the two shifts week to week depending on the sports calendar, news cycle and major events.