Live prediction market odds for #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Sep 5, 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Resolved 2026-09-01
This market resolved on 2026-09-01. Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking which song will be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of September 5, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking which song will be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of September 5, 2026. The market resolves based on the official Billboard chart published on that date, reflecting the most popular songs in the U.S. during that week.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Choosin' Texas - Ella LangleyWINNER | 99% | 98% |
BE BY YOU | 1% | — |
Earrings | 1% | — |
I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE | 1% | — |
I Just Might | 1% | — |
JADED | 1% | — |
Janice STFU | 1% | — |
Loser | 1% | — |
Man I Need | 1% | — |
Midnight Sun | 1% | — |
OH YEAH | 1% | — |
Risk It All | 1% | — |
So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 1% | — |
Some of Your Love | 1% | — |
stupid song | 1% | — |
the cure | 1% | — |
Be Her - Ella Langley | 1% | 0% |
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen | 1% | 0% |
Boston - Stella Lefty | 1% | 0% |
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande | 1% | 0% |
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift | 1% | 0% |
Petal - Ariana Grande | 1% | 0% |
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo | — | 0% |
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
98.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf petal is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
The Billboard chart for this event is published on September 5, 2026. The rankings reflect song popularity based on sales, radio play, and streaming data.
The #1 song is determined by the official Billboard Hot 100 chart. The chart ranks songs based on a combination of sales, airplay, and streaming.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms tracking this event. They provide real-time odds on which song will take the top spot on the Billboard chart.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 97.6¢ on Polymarket; BE BY YOU: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; Earrings: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE: 1.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
