Traders give Alexi Giannoulias about a 74.0% chance. Brandon Johnson follows at 44.5%, Susana Mendoza follows at 8.5%, and Danielle Carter-Walters follows at 4.9%. Compare prices from Polymarket and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 97.4 percentage points.
Alexi Giannoulias is the current Secretary of State of Illinois, a position he has held since January 2023. He previously served as Illinois Treasurer from 2007 to 2011. Giannoulias is a candidate in the 2027 Chicago mayoral election, bringing extensive experience in state government and a focus on modernizing public services.
About Brandon Johnson
Brandon Johnson is the 57th Mayor of Chicago, having assumed office on May 15, 2023. Prior to his election, he served as a Cook County Commissioner from 2018 to 2023, where he led efforts to pass the Just Housing Ordinance and secured legal representation for immigrants facing deportation. As mayor, Johnson has focused on combating homelessness and enacting police and education reform.
About Susana Mendoza
Susana Mendoza is the current Illinois Comptroller, a position she has held since December 5, 2016. Prior to this, she served as the City Clerk of Chicago from 2011 to 2016, becoming the first woman to hold that role. Mendoza has a history of public service, including six terms as an Illinois State Representative, and is recognized for her leadership in state finance and urban governance.
About John Kelly
John Kelly is a lobbyist and candidate for Chicago mayor in the 2027 election. He has represented clients such as the Chicago White Sox, Bally's, and the United Center. His extensive lobbying experience and connections with city officials are central to his campaign platform.
About Matt Brewer
Matt Brewer is a partner at the law firm Bartlit Beck and co-owner of The Wiener's Circle. He served as CEO and board chair of the Chicago Housing Authority from 2014 to 2024 and has been a commissioner since 2013. Brewer's extensive experience in public housing and urban development underscores his qualifications for the mayoral role.
About Joe Holberg
Joe Holberg is the founder and CEO of Spring, a wealth advisory firm acquired by Mariner Wealth Advisors in January 2023. He previously founded Holberg Financial in 2015 and authored 'Rogue Finances' in 2017. Holberg is running for Mayor of Chicago in the 2027 election, focusing on economic growth, affordable housing, balanced budgeting, and educational improvement.
About George Cardenas
George Cardenas is a commissioner of the Cook County Board of Review for the 1st district. He served as alderman of Chicago's 12th Ward from 2003 to 2022. He has announced his candidacy for the 2027 Chicago mayoral election.
About Mike Quigley
Mike Quigley is the U.S. Representative for Illinois's 5th congressional district. He served as a Cook County Commissioner from 1998 to 2009. Quigley is a candidate in the 2027 Chicago mayoral election.
About Willie Wilson
Willie Wilson is the founder and CEO of Omar Medical Supplies. He has run for Chicago mayor in 2015, 2019, and 2023. He is currently a candidate in the 2027 Chicago mayoral election.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: 2027 Chicago Mayoral Election
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket.
Polymarket
Primary Rule
The 2027 Chicago mayoral election will be held on February 23, 2027, to elect the mayor of Chicago, Illinois. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on April 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Chicago.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines the winner of the Chicago Mayoral Election?
The winner is determined by the total votes received on Election Day. Candidates must secure the majority of votes to win.
How do candidate endorsements affect the election odds?
Candidate endorsements can significantly influence public perception and voter turnout. As endorsements are announced, markets may adjust odds reflecting the perceived strength of candidates.
When does trading close for the Chicago Mayoral Election markets?
Trading for the Chicago Mayoral Election markets is scheduled to close on April 6, 2027. This is the last opportunity for traders to place bets before the election results are finalized.
What does the 2027 Chicago Mayoral Election prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest 2027 Chicago Mayoral Election odds?
The latest available prices are Alexi Giannoulias: 74.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.0¢ on PredictIt; Brandon Johnson: 9.0¢ on Polymarket, 80.0¢ on PredictIt; Susana Mendoza: 8.5¢ on Polymarket, 98.0¢ on PredictIt; Danielle Carter-Walters: 4.9¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.