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Live prediction market odds for AL Cy Young Winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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AL Cy Young Winner?

2026-11-12

Best price · tap to trade

Cam Schlittler99¢1.01xKalshiDylan Cease1¢100.00xKalshiJacob deGrom1¢100.00xKalshi
Compare all 24 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Cam Schlittler about a 98.3% chance. Dylan Cease follows at 0.9%, Jacob deGrom follows at 0.6%, and Bryan Woo follows at 0.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.

Traders give Cam Schlittler about a 98.3% chance. Dylan Cease follows at 0.9%, Jacob deGrom follows at 0.6%, and Bryan Woo follows at 0.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the AL Cy Young Winner for the 2026 season. This award impacts player legacies and team dynamics, influencing future contracts and fan engagement in Major League Baseball.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
CS
Cam Schlittler
98%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket100¢
Kalshi1.01x99¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
PolymarketPolymarket
98.7%98¢100¢0¢2¢
DC
Dylan Cease
1%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket1¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.7%0¢1¢99¢100¢
JD
Jacob deGrom
1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
—0¢—100¢100¢
BW
Bryan Woo
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢1¢99¢100¢
BM
Bryce Miller
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
—
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢1¢99¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Jacob deGrom

Jacob deGrom is a pitcher for the Texas Rangers. He won the National League Cy Young Award in 2018 and 2019. He is relevant to this prediction market as a potential candidate for the American League Cy Young Award.

About Bryan Woo

Bryan Woo is a pitcher for the Seattle Mariners. He debuted in MLB in 2023 and was named to the All-MLB Second Team in 2025. He is a candidate for the 2026 AL Cy Young Award.

About Bryce Miller

Bryce Miller is a starting pitcher for the Seattle Mariners. He debuted in MLB in 2023 and had a standout 2024 season with a 2.94 ERA and 171 strikeouts. His consistent performance makes him a strong candidate for the AL Cy Young Award.

About Cole Ragans

Cole Ragans is a left-handed pitcher for the Kansas City Royals. He was named an All-Star in 2024 and finished fourth in Cy Young voting that year. His performance makes him a strong candidate for the 2025 AL Cy Young Award.

About Garrett Crochet

Garrett Crochet is a left-handed pitcher for the Boston Red Sox. He was named the American League Comeback Player of the Year in 2024. His performance in 2024, including a 3.58 ERA and 209 strikeouts, makes him a strong candidate for the AL Cy Young Award.

About Hunter Brown

Hunter Brown is a starting pitcher for the Houston Astros. He was named an All-Star in 2025 and led the team to a World Series championship. His consistent performance makes him a strong candidate for the AL Cy Young award.

About Jose Soriano

José Soriano is a Dominican professional baseball pitcher for the Los Angeles Angels. He debuted in Major League Baseball in 2023 and has since become a key member of the Angels' pitching rotation. His performance in the 2025 season, including a 10-11 win-loss record and a 4.26 ERA, makes him a strong candidate for the AL Cy Young Award.

About Logan Gilbert

Logan Gilbert is a starting pitcher for the Seattle Mariners. He was selected to the MLB All-Star Game in 2024. His consistent performance makes him a strong candidate for the AL Cy Young Award.

About Max Fried

Max Fried is a left-handed pitcher for the New York Yankees. He signed an eight-year, $218 million contract with the Yankees in December 2024. Fried is a three-time All-Star and four-time Gold Glove winner, known for his curveball and slider.

About Nathan Eovaldi

Nathan Eovaldi is a professional baseball pitcher for the Texas Rangers. He was named to the 2023 All-MLB Second Team. Eovaldi's performance in the 2023 season, including a 12–5 record and 3.63 ERA, makes him a strong candidate for the AL Cy Young Award.

About Ranger Suarez

Ranger Suárez is a left-handed pitcher for the Boston Red Sox. He signed a five-year, $130 million contract with the team in January 2026. Suárez is relevant to this prediction market as a potential candidate for the American League Cy Young Award.

About Tarik Skubal

Tarik Skubal is a left-handed pitcher for the Detroit Tigers. He won consecutive American League Cy Young Awards in 2024 and 2025. His exceptional performance makes him a strong candidate for the 2026 AL Cy Young Award.

About Pablo Lopez

Pablo López is a Venezuelan professional baseball pitcher for the Minnesota Twins. He was traded to the Twins from the Miami Marlins in January 2023, where he had a standout 2023 season, earning an All-Star selection and finishing seventh in AL Cy Young Award voting. López is relevant to this prediction market as a leading candidate for the 2026 AL Cy Young Award, given his consistent performance and recent contract extension with the Twins.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
the Governing League
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms2
Candidates24
Leader

Cam Schlittler

98.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: AL Cy Young Winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tarik Skubal wins the Pro Baseball American League Cy Young in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
the Governing League
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the AL Cy Young Winner odds?

Pitching statistics, team performance, and player health significantly impact the odds. Additionally, media coverage and fan sentiment can sway perceptions of candidates.

When is the AL Cy Young Winner announced?

The AL Cy Young Winner is typically announced in November, following the conclusion of the regular MLB season. This timing allows for a comprehensive evaluation of player performances.

How do prediction markets determine odds for this award?

Prediction markets aggregate data from various sources, including expert analyses and betting trends. The odds reflect collective expectations about which players are most likely to win.

What does the AL Cy Young Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest AL Cy Young Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Cam Schlittler: 98.0¢ on Kalshi, 98.7¢ on Polymarket; Dylan Cease: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.7¢ on Polymarket; Jacob deGrom: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket; Bryan Woo: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Cam Schlittler Leads Every AL Cy Young Category at 96%Schlittler leads the AL in ERA, WHIP, strikeouts, and WAR. His probability climbed 8 percentage points in three days with no single catalyst.Sep 15, 2026Cease Injury Drops AL Cy Young Odds to 6% as Schlittler Takes LeadCease fell from 22% to 6% in three days after an injury and performance decline. Schlittler holds a 2.04 ERA with five starts remaining.Sep 10, 2026Schlittler Breaks Yankees Franchise Record, Cy Young Odds Reach 87%Schlittler's 19 low-run starts broke a mark shared by Guidry, Ford, and Chesbro. His 2.04 ERA and 1.14 road ERA anchor the case.Sep 8, 2026Schlittler's AL Cy Young Odds Hit 76% on a 1.14 Road ERAA franchise-record Angels start pushed Schlittler's Cy Young probability to 76%, with Kalshi at 74% and Polymarket at 78%.Sep 5, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers (2:35 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros (7:10 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers (7:15 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels (10:07 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers (8:05 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%

Prediction Market Track Record

San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners (8:08 PM ET)WONPre-event: 0%Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers (7:15 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%

Prediction Market Track Record

Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers (8:05 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners (4:10 PM ET)LOSTPre-event: 0%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers (2:35 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-07-26

LOSTJacob deGrom
Pre-event: 0%

Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros (7:10 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-08-01

LOSTJacob deGrom
Pre-event: 0%

Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers (7:15 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-08-08

LOSTJacob deGrom
Pre-event: 0%

Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels (10:07 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-08-13

LOSTJacob deGrom
Pre-event: 0%

Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers (8:05 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-08-20

LOSTJacob deGrom
Pre-event: 0%

San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners (8:08 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-07-18

WONBryan Woo
Pre-event: 0%

Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers (7:15 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-07-25

LOSTBryan Woo
Pre-event: 0%

Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-07-30

LOSTBryan Woo
Pre-event: 0%

Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners (9:40 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-08-05

LOSTBryan Woo
Pre-event: 0%

Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-08-11

LOSTBryan Woo
Pre-event: 0%

Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-07-09

LOSTBryce Miller
Pre-event: 0%

San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-07-17

LOSTBryce Miller
Pre-event: 0%

Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers (8:05 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-07-24

LOSTBryce Miller
Pre-event: 0%

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners (10:10 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-07-31

LOSTBryce Miller
Pre-event: 0%

Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners (4:10 PM ET)

Resolved

2026-08-06

LOSTBryce Miller
Pre-event: 0%