About This Market
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs. Pablo Carreno Busta — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs. Pablo Carreno Busta. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

ATP·Resolved 2026-08-23
This market resolved on 2026-08-23. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs. Pablo Carreno Busta — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|
Adolfo Daniel VallejoWINNER | 99% | 100% | 92% |
Pablo Carreno Busta | 1% | 0% | 10% |
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
97.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Pablo Carreno Busta wins the Carreno Busta vs Vallejo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Winston Salem Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Carreno Busta vs Vallejo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Winston Salem Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Adolfo Vallejo in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Adolfo Vallejo. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Adolfo Daniel Vallejo: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 92.5¢ on ProphetX; Pablo Carreno Busta: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 9.8¢ on ProphetX. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 9.7 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at 97.1¢ implies about a 97.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.