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Live prediction market odds for Adrian Mannarino vs. Alejandro Tabilo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket

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Adrian Mannarino vs. Alejandro Tabilo

ATP·2026-09-25

Best price · tap to trade

Alejandro Tabilo1¢100.00xKalshiAdrian Mannarino40¢2.50xNovig
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Sep 28

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Alejandro Tabilo about a 27.8% chance. Adrian Mannarino follows at 75.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 60.0 percentage points.

Traders give Alejandro Tabilo about a 27.8% chance. Adrian Mannarino follows at 75.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 60.0 percentage points.

Adrian Mannarino vs. Alejandro Tabilo: ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-09-25. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
Best price
AM
Adrian MannarinoARB
74%
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket US99¢
Novig40¢
Polymarket63¢
Novig2.53x40¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
98.0%97¢99¢1¢3¢
NovigNovig
39.0%38¢40¢60¢62¢
PolymarketPolymarket
62.0%61¢63¢37¢39¢
AT
Alejandro TabiloARB
27%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket US1¢
Novig61¢
Polymarket48¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
1.0%1¢1¢99¢99¢
NovigNovig
60.0%59¢61¢39¢41¢
PolymarketPolymarket
47.0%46¢48¢52¢54¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarket

Spread

ARB 60¢
Best price
Mannarino +2.5
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket39¢
Polymarket2.56x39¢
Tabilo -2.5
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket17¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢

Totals

ARB 39¢
Best price
O 22.5
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket0¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
U 22.5
Kalshi99¢
Polymarket61¢
Polymarket1.64x61¢

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread60.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Alejandro Tabilo

27.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Adrian Mannarino vs. Alejandro Tabilo

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Alejandro Tabilo wins the Tabilo vs Mannarino professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Chengdu Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Tabilo vs Mannarino professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Chengdu Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Alejandro Tabilo in Adrian Mannarino @ Alejandro Tabilo Round of 16 (ATP); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Adrian Mannarino in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Alejandro Tabilo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino ATP match scheduled for September 25 at 2:10AM. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, forfeit, injury, or any other cancellation prior to the first point being played, the market will settle to fair market price. If a player retires during the match, the opponent will be recorded as the winner. Outcome sourced from ATP.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Adrian Mannarino vs. Alejandro Tabilo prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Adrian Mannarino vs. Alejandro Tabilo odds?

The latest available prices are Alejandro Tabilo: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 48.0¢ on Polymarket, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US, 61.0¢ on Novig; Adrian Mannarino: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 63.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US, 39.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Adrian Mannarino vs. Alejandro Tabilo odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 60.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Adrian Mannarino vs. Alejandro Tabilo prediction market payouts work?

For example, Alejandro Tabilo at 27.8¢ implies about a 27.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Smart Money Feed
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Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $2.8M lifetime bet $500 on Alejandro Tabilo at 5¢

3d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USChengdu Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian MannarinoTrade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $1.8M lifetime bet $1.1K on Adrian Mannarino at 94¢

3d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USChengdu Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian MannarinoTrade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $1.8M lifetime bet $1K on Adrian Mannarino at 95¢

3d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USChengdu Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian MannarinoTrade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $1.7M lifetime bet $10.5K on Adrian Mannarino at 94¢

3d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USChengdu Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian MannarinoTrade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $679K lifetime bet $3.5K on Adrian Mannarino at 85¢

3d ago
PolymarketPolymarket USChengdu Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian MannarinoTrade on Polymarket US →