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Live prediction market odds for Jakub Mensik vs. Francisco Cerundolo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Kalshi / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Jakub Mensik vs. Francisco Cerundolo

ATP·2026-10-03

Best price · tap to trade

Jakub Mensik65¢1.54xProphetXFrancisco Cerundolo36¢2.78xKalshi
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Resolved Oct 1

Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Jakub Mensik about a 65.0% chance. Francisco Cerundolo follows at 35.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.

Traders give Jakub Mensik about a 65.0% chance. Francisco Cerundolo follows at 35.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.

Jakub Mensik vs. Francisco Cerundolo: ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-10-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
JM
Jakub Mensik
65%
Kalshi65¢
Novig66¢
Polymarket66¢
ProphetX65¢
ProphetX1.55x65¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
65.0%64¢65¢35¢36¢
NovigNovig
65.5%64¢66¢35¢36¢
PolymarketPolymarket
65.0%65¢66¢34¢35¢
ProphetXProphetX
64.5%64¢65¢35¢36¢
FC
Francisco Cerundolo
36%
Kalshi36¢
Novig36¢
Polymarket35¢
—
Kalshi2.78x36¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
36.0%35¢36¢64¢65¢
NovigNovig
36.0%35¢36¢64¢66¢
PolymarketPolymarket
35.0%34¢35¢65¢66¢
KalshiKalshiNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Best price among US-regulated venues.

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Leader

Jakub Mensik

65.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Jakub Mensik vs. Francisco Cerundolo

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Jakub Mensik wins the Cerundolo vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Cerundolo vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Jakub Mensik in Jakub Mensik @ Francisco Cerundolo Round of 16 (ATP); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Jakub Mensik in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Francisco Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Jakub Mensik vs. Francisco Cerundolo prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Jakub Mensik vs. Francisco Cerundolo odds?

The latest available prices are Jakub Mensik: 65.0¢ on Kalshi, 65.0¢ on Polymarket, 64.5¢ on ProphetX, 65.5¢ on Novig; Francisco Cerundolo: 36.0¢ on Kalshi, 35.0¢ on Polymarket, 36.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Jakub Mensik vs. Francisco Cerundolo odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Jakub Mensik vs. Francisco Cerundolo prediction market payouts work?

For example, Jakub Mensik at 65.0¢ implies about a 65.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Francisco Cerundolo

Smart Money Consensus$256
$256Francisco Cerundolo
Smart Traders Split1
1Francisco Cerundolo
KalshiBuy Yes at 36¢Best price among US-regulated venues.

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Francisco Cerundolo$256 · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow