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Live prediction market odds for Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers

College Football·2026-10-03

Best price · tap to trade

Wisconsin Badgers79¢1.27xPolymarket USMichigan State Spartans22¢4.55xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Wisconsin Badgers about a 79.7% chance. Michigan State Spartans follows at 21.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.6 percentage points.

Traders give Wisconsin Badgers about a 79.7% chance. Michigan State Spartans follows at 21.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.6 percentage points.

Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: College Football game scheduled for 2026-10-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
WB
Wisconsin Badgers
80%
Kalshi80¢
Polymarket US79¢
Novig80¢
Polymarket79¢
ProphetX81¢
Polymarket US1.27x79¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
80.0%79¢80¢20¢21¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
79.0%79¢79¢21¢22¢
NovigNovig
80.0%78¢80¢20¢22¢
PolymarketPolymarket
78.5%78¢79¢21¢22¢
ProphetXProphetX
81.1%77¢81¢19¢23¢
MS
Michigan State Spartans
22%
Kalshi22¢
Polymarket US22¢
Novig22¢
Polymarket22¢
ProphetX23¢
Polymarket US4.65x22¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
22.0%21¢22¢78¢79¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
21.0%21¢22¢79¢79¢
NovigNovig
22.0%20¢22¢78¢80¢
PolymarketPolymarket
21.5%21¢22¢78¢79¢
ProphetXProphetX
22.6%19¢23¢77¢81¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Spread

Best price
MSU +10.5
Kalshi53¢
Polymarket US54¢
Novig54¢
Polymarket52¢
ProphetX53¢
ProphetX1.88x53¢
WIS -10.5
Kalshi47¢
Polymarket US47¢
Novig49¢
Polymarket49¢
ProphetX50¢
Polymarket US2.13x47¢

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Totals

Best price
O 43.5
Kalshi51¢
Polymarket US50¢
Polymarket49¢
ProphetX53¢
Kalshi1.96x51¢
U 43.5
Kalshi49¢
Polymarket US49¢
Polymarket51¢
ProphetX53¢
Polymarket US2.00x50¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.6%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Leader

Wisconsin Badgers

79.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Michigan St. wins the Michigan St. vs Wisconsin college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Michigan State Spartans in Michigan State @ Wisconsin (NCAAF); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming college football game between Michigan State and Wisconsin, scheduled for October 3 at 12:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game. This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Michigan State vs Wisconsin College Football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers odds?

The latest available prices are Wisconsin Badgers: 80.0¢ on Kalshi, 78.5¢ on Polymarket, 81.1¢ on ProphetX, 79.0¢ on Polymarket US, 80.0¢ on Novig; Michigan State Spartans: 22.0¢ on Kalshi, 21.5¢ on Polymarket, 22.6¢ on ProphetX, 21.0¢ on Polymarket US, 22.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.6 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers prediction market payouts work?

For example, Wisconsin Badgers at 79.7¢ implies about a 79.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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