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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Tomas Machac Wins: Tomas Machac vs. Yannick Hanfmann

ATP·Resolved 2026-09-28

This market resolved on 2026-09-28. Tomas Machac was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Tomas Machac vs.

Tomas Machac vs. Yannick Hanfmann: ATP Tennis match held on 2026-09-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market Prices Compare Fees Before You Trade New to Polymarket?

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Tomas Machac wins the Hanfmann vs Machac professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Hanfmann vs Machac professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Tomas Machac in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Yannick Hanfmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Tomas Machac vs. Yannick Hanfmann prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Tomas Machac vs. Yannick Hanfmann odds?

The last available prices are Tomas Machac: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket; Yannick Hanfmann: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Tomas Machac vs. Yannick Hanfmann odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Tomas Machac vs. Yannick Hanfmann prediction market payouts work?

For example, Tomas Machac at 99.3¢ implies about a 99.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Candidate
Tomas MachacWINNER	100%	99%
Yannick Hanfmann	1%	1%

Tomas Machac Wins: Tomas Machac vs. Yannick Hanfmann

About This Market

Price History

Tomas Machac Wins: Tomas Machac vs. Yannick Hanfmann

About This Market

Price History

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Tomas Machac Wins: Tomas Machac vs. Yannick Hanfmann

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Price History

Tomas Machac Wins: Tomas Machac vs. Yannick Hanfmann

About This Market

Price History

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Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Tomas Machac vs. Yannick Hanfmann

Frequently Asked Questions