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Live prediction market odds for Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Democrats Sweep61¢1.64xPredict.funR Senate, D House29¢3.45xPredict.funRepublicans Sweep7¢14.29xPredict.fun
Compare all 5 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Democrats Sweep about a 61.4% chance. R Senate, D House follows at 30.0%, Republicans Sweep follows at 7.2%, and D Senate, R House follows at 0.8%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Traders give Democrats Sweep about a 61.4% chance. R Senate, D House follows at 30.0%, Republicans Sweep follows at 7.2%, and D Senate, R House follows at 0.8%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.

Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
DS
Democrats Sweep
61%
Polymarket62¢
Predict.fun61¢
Predict.fun1.64x61¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
62.0%61¢62¢38¢39¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
60.7%61¢61¢39¢40¢
RS
R Senate, D House
30%
Polymarket31¢
Predict.fun29¢
Predict.fun3.44x29¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
31.0%30¢31¢69¢70¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
29.0%29¢29¢71¢71¢
RS
Republicans Sweep
7%
Polymarket8¢
Predict.fun7¢
Predict.fun14.08x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
7.5%7¢8¢92¢93¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
7.0%7¢7¢93¢93¢
DS
D Senate, R House
1%
Polymarket1¢
Predict.fun1¢
Predict.fun166.67x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
1.2%1¢1¢99¢99¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
0.4%0¢1¢99¢100¢
O
Other
0%
—
Predict.fun1¢
Polymarket500.00x0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
—0¢—100¢100¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
0.4%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.0%
Platforms2
Candidates5
Leader

Democrats Sweep

61.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections. A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives, if they win a majority of voting seats. A party will be considered to have 'control' of the Senate if they have more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. If control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms odds?

The latest available prices are Democrats Sweep: 62.0¢ on Polymarket, 60.7¢ on Predict.fun; R Senate, D House: 31.0¢ on Polymarket, 29.0¢ on Predict.fun; Republicans Sweep: 7.5¢ on Polymarket, 7.0¢ on Predict.fun; D Senate, R House: 1.2¢ on Polymarket, 0.4¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms prediction market payouts work?

For example, Democrats Sweep at 61.4¢ implies about a 61.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily fading Republicans Sweep

Smart Money Consensus$4.8K
$106Yes$4.7KNo
Smart Traders Split5
1Yes4No
PolymarketBuy No at 93¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Democrats Sweep
Yes$4.5K · 4 whales
R Senate, D House
No$3.5K · 1 whale
Republicans Sweep
No$4.7K · 4 whales
Yes$106 · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Republicans Sweep Stuck at 12% as Democrats Hold 8-Point Ballot LeadThe GOP sweep scenario sits at the bottom of the Balance of Power market. A $13.7M NRCC cash edge and redistricting gains have not moved the needle.Aug 19, 2026