Live prediction market odds for NC-03 House winner?. Compare prices across .
Listed Updated Resolved
This market resolved on Nov 4, 2026. Raymond Smith Jr (D) was the officially declared outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NC-03 House race, set to resolve on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NC-03 House race, set to resolve on November 3, 2026. The market will be determined by the official election results, with odds fluctuating based on candidate campaigns and voter sentiment leading up to the election date.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Raymond Smith Jr (D)WINNER | Yes |
Greg Murphy (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NC-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the NC-03 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
The market resolves on November 3, 2026, coinciding with the general election date.
Odds fluctuate based on candidate campaigns, polling data, and voter engagement as the election date approaches.
The outcome is determined by the official election results announced after the polls close on November 3, 2026.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
