Live prediction market odds for BTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Resolved 2026-08-21
This market resolved on 2026-08-21. $50,000 or above was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kalshi is tracking the price of Bitcoin on August 21, 2026, at 5 PM EDT.
Kalshi is tracking the price of Bitcoin on August 21, 2026, at 5 PM EDT. Market fluctuations are influenced by factors such as regulatory developments, market sentiment, and macroeconomic trends affecting cryptocurrency valuations.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
$50,000 or aboveWINNER | 99% |
$50,500 or above | 99% |
$51,000 or above | 99% |
$53,000 or above | 99% |
$53,500 or above | 99% |
$54,000 or above | 99% |
$54,500 or above | 99% |
$55,000 or above | 99% |
$57,500 or above | 99% |
$58,000 or above | 99% |
$59,000 or above | 99% |
$59,500 or above | 99% |
$60,000 or above | 99% |
$60,500 or above | 99% |
$61,000 or above | 99% |
$61,500 or above | 99% |
$62,000 or above | 99% |
$62,500 or above | 99% |
$63,000 or above | 99% |
$63,500 or above | 99% |
$64,000 or above | 99% |
$64,500 or above | 99% |
$65,000 or above | 99% |
$65,500 or above | 99% |
$66,000 or above | 99% |
$66,500 or above | 99% |
$67,000 or above | 99% |
$67,500 or above | 99% |
$68,000 or above | 99% |
$68,500 or above | 99% |
$69,000 or above | 99% |
$69,500 or above | 99% |
$70,000 or above | 99% |
$70,500 or above | 99% |
$71,000 or above | 99% |
$71,500 or above | 99% |
$72,000 or above | 99% |
$72,500 or above | 99% |
$73,000 or above | 99% |
$73,500 or above | 99% |
$74,000 or above | 99% |
$74,500 or above | 99% |
$55,500 or above | 98% |
$56,000 or above | 98% |
$56,500 or above | 98% |
$57,000 or above | 98% |
$58,500 or above | 98% |
$51,500 or above | 0% |
$52,000 or above | 0% |
$52,500 or above | 0% |
$50,000 or above
99.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 49999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
Bitcoin's price can be affected by regulatory changes, technological advancements, and overall market sentiment. Additionally, macroeconomic conditions, such as inflation rates and interest rates, play a crucial role in shaping investor behavior.
Prediction markets allow participants to bet on the future price of assets, with odds reflecting collective expectations. Prices are determined by supply and demand, providing insights into market sentiment and potential future movements.
The specific time is relevant as it coincides with the close of traditional financial markets, which can impact cryptocurrency trading. Additionally, significant news or events often occur around this time, influencing investor decisions and market volatility.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are $50,000 or above: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; $50,500 or above: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; $51,000 or above: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; $53,000 or above: 99.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
