Live prediction market odds for BTC price on Aug 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Resolved 2026-08-08
This market resolved on 2026-08-08. $54,500 or above was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kalshi is tracking the BTC price on August 8, 2026, at 5 PM EDT.
Kalshi is tracking the BTC price on August 8, 2026, at 5 PM EDT. This market reflects investor sentiment and speculation regarding Bitcoin's future value, influenced by market trends, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic factors.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
$54,500 or aboveWINNER | 99% |
$54,750 or above | 99% |
$55,000 or above | 0% |
$55,250 or above | 0% |
$55,500 or above | 0% |
$55,750 or above | 0% |
$56,000 or above | 0% |
$56,250 or above | 0% |
$56,500 or above | 0% |
$56,750 or above | 0% |
$57,000 or above | 0% |
$57,250 or above | 0% |
$57,500 or above | 0% |
$57,750 or above | 0% |
$58,000 or above | 0% |
$58,250 or above | 0% |
$58,500 or above | 0% |
$58,750 or above | 0% |
$59,000 or above | 0% |
$59,250 or above | 0% |
$59,500 or above | 0% |
$59,750 or above | 0% |
$60,000 or above | 0% |
$60,250 or above | 0% |
$60,500 or above | 0% |
$60,750 or above | 0% |
$61,000 or above | 0% |
$61,250 or above | 0% |
$61,500 or above | 0% |
$61,750 or above | 0% |
$62,000 or above | 0% |
$62,250 or above | 0% |
$62,500 or above | 0% |
$62,750 or above | 0% |
$63,000 or above | 99% |
$63,250 or above | 99% |
$63,500 or above | 98% |
$63,750 or above | 99% |
$64,000 or above | 99% |
$64,250 or above | 99% |
$64,500 or above | 99% |
$64,750 or above | 99% |
$65,000 or above | 99% |
$65,250 or above | 1% |
$65,500 or above | 1% |
$65,750 or above | 1% |
$66,000 or above | 1% |
$66,250 or above | 1% |
$66,500 or above | 1% |
$66,750 or above | 1% |
$67,000 or above | 1% |
$67,250 or above | 0% |
$67,500 or above | 0% |
$67,750 or above | 0% |
$68,000 or above | 0% |
$68,250 or above | 0% |
$68,500 or above | 0% |
$68,750 or above | 0% |
$69,000 or above | 0% |
$69,250 or above | 0% |
$69,500 or above | 1% |
$69,750 or above | 0% |
$70,000 or above | 0% |
$70,250 or above | 0% |
$70,500 or above | 1% |
$70,750 or above | 0% |
$71,000 or above | 0% |
$71,250 or above | 0% |
$71,500 or above | 0% |
$71,750 or above | 0% |
$72,000 or above | 0% |
$72,250 or above | 0% |
$72,500 or above | 0% |
$72,750 or above | 0% |
$73,000 or above | 0% |
$73,250 or above | 0% |
$73,500 or above | 0% |
$73,750 or above | 0% |
$74,000 or above | 0% |
$74,250 or above | 1% |
$54,500 or above
0.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 54499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.
Factors include market demand, regulatory changes, and macroeconomic conditions. Additionally, technological advancements in blockchain and Bitcoin adoption rates can significantly impact prices.
This market specifically focuses on a future price point for Bitcoin at a set date and time. Other markets may offer broader predictions or different cryptocurrencies.
The date allows traders to speculate on Bitcoin's performance over a longer-term horizon. This timeframe can capture the effects of upcoming events, such as halving cycles or regulatory changes.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are $54,500 or above: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; $54,750 or above: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; $55,000 or above: 0.0¢ on Kalshi; $55,250 or above: 0.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
