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Live prediction market odds for Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

2028-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

$200M41¢2.44xPredict.fun$400M27¢3.70xPredict.fun$600M20¢5.00xPolymarket
Compare all 9 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give $200M about a 39.8% chance. $400M follows at 26.0%, $600M follows at 19.6%, and $800M follows at 13.9%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.4 percentage points.

Traders give $200M about a 39.8% chance. $400M follows at 26.0%, $600M follows at 19.6%, and $800M follows at 13.9%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.4 percentage points.

Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
$
$200M
40%
Polymarket44¢
Predict.fun41¢
Predict.fun2.44x41¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
42.5%41¢44¢56¢59¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
37.1%37¢41¢59¢63¢
$
$400M
26%
Polymarket27¢
Predict.fun27¢
Predict.fun3.72x27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
26.5%26¢27¢73¢74¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
25.5%24¢27¢73¢76¢
$
$600M
20%
Polymarket20¢
Predict.fun24¢
Polymarket5.00x20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
19.0%18¢20¢80¢82¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
20.2%20¢24¢76¢80¢
$
$800M
14%
Polymarket16¢
Predict.fun14¢
Predict.fun7.41x14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
14.5%13¢16¢84¢87¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
13.2%13¢14¢87¢87¢
$
$1BARB
12%
Polymarket14¢
Predict.fun11¢
Predict.fun8.77x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
13.5%13¢14¢86¢87¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
10.9%11¢11¢89¢89¢
PolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.4%
Platforms2
Candidates9
Leader

$200M

39.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch odds?

The latest available prices are $200M: 42.5¢ on Polymarket, 37.1¢ on Predict.fun; $400M: 26.5¢ on Polymarket, 25.5¢ on Predict.fun; $600M: 19.0¢ on Polymarket, 20.2¢ on Predict.fun; $800M: 14.5¢ on Polymarket, 13.2¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 5.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch prediction market payouts work?

For example, $200M at 39.8¢ implies about a 39.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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