Ball State Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs
Live prediction market odds for Ball State Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
College Basketball Game starts Listed Updated
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Traders give SMU Mustangs about a 96.9% chance. Ball State Cardinals follows at 3.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.
KalshiPolymarket USNovigPolymarketProphetXOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX and Underdog.
KalshiIf SMU wins the Ball St. vs SMU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigSMU Mustangs in Ball State @ SMU (NCAAB); settled by Novig.
PolymarketIn the upcoming CBB game between Ball State Cardinals and SMU Mustangs, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Ball State Cardinals win, the market will resolve to "Ball State Cardinals". If the SMU Mustangs win, the market will resolve to "SMU Mustangs". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Ball State vs SMU men's college basketball game scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 9:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
UnderdogBALL @ SMU Moneyline: SMU to win in BALL @ SMU; settled by Underdog.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are SMU Mustangs: 96.5¢ on Kalshi, 96.8¢ on Polymarket, 97.0¢ on ProphetX, 97.5¢ on Polymarket US, 96.8¢ on Novig; Ball State Cardinals: 3.5¢ on Kalshi, 3.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on ProphetX, 2.5¢ on Polymarket US, 3.2¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, SMU Mustangs at 96.9¢ implies about a 96.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
