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Idaho Vandals vs.
Idaho Vandals vs. Cal Poly Mustangs — College Football game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Idaho Vandals vs. Cal Poly Mustangs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

College Football·Resolved 2026-08-28
This market resolved on 2026-08-28. Cal Poly Mustangs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Idaho Vandals vs.
Idaho Vandals vs. Cal Poly Mustangs — College Football game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cal Poly MustangsWINNER | 99% | 100% | 99% | 99% |
Cal Poly wins by over 1.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
Cal Poly wins by over 2.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
Cal Poly wins by over 3.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 21.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 24.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 34.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 8.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
Over 38.5 points scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 44.5 points scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 50.5 points scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 56.5 points scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 58.5 points scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 62.5 points scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 68.5 points scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Total under 37.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
Total under 49.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
Total under 61.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
Total under 67.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
Total under 69.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
Total over 57.5 | 99% | — | 98% | — |
Total over 59.5 | 99% | — | 98% | — |
Total over 71.5 | 99% | — | 98% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 14.5 | — | — | 97% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 13.5 | — | — | 97% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 17.5 | — | — | 95% | — |
Total under 45.5 | — | — | 95% | — |
Total under 43.5 | — | — | 94% | — |
Total under 39.5 | — | — | 93% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 16.5 | — | — | 91% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 20.5 | — | — | 91% | — |
Total over 41.5 | 99% | — | 91% | — |
Total under 41.5 | — | — | 91% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 10.5 | — | — | 86% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 10.5 | 1% | — | 86% | — |
Total over 49.5 | — | — | 80% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 3.5 | — | — | 65% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | 65% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 7.5 | — | — | 64% | — |
Total under 63.5 | — | — | 56% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 24.5 | — | — | 50% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 34.5 | — | — | 50% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 4.5 | — | — | 50% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 5.5 | — | — | 50% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 27.5 | — | — | 50% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 31.5 | — | — | 50% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 4.5 | 1% | — | 50% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 5.5 | 1% | — | 50% | — |
Total over 69.5 | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 57.5 | — | — | 50% | — |
Total over 54.5 | 99% | — | 49% | — |
Total under 54.5 | — | — | 49% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 48% | — |
Total over 63.5 | — | — | 45% | — |
Total over 55.5 | 99% | — | 42% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 6.5 | — | — | 40% | — |
Total over 65.5 | 99% | — | 27% | — |
Total under 65.5 | — | — | 27% | — |
Cal Poly wins by over 11.5 points | 25% | — | — | — |
Total over 47.5 | 99% | — | 21% | — |
Total under 47.5 | — | — | 21% | — |
Total under 51.5 | — | — | 20% | — |
Total over 35.5 | 99% | — | 15% | — |
Total under 35.5 | — | — | 15% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 13.5 | 1% | — | 14% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 1.5 | 25% | — | 1% | — |
Idaho Vandals | 1% | 1% | 0% | 9% |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 16.5 | 1% | — | 9% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 20.5 | 1% | — | 9% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 7.5 | 16% | — | 2% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 7% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 0.5 | — | — | 7% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 7% | — |
Total over 39.5 | — | — | 7% | — |
Total over 53.5 | 99% | — | 6% | — |
Total under 53.5 | — | — | 6% | — |
Total over 43.5 | — | — | 5% | — |
Total over 45.5 | — | — | 5% | — |
Total over 73.5 | — | — | 5% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 17.5 | 1% | — | 5% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 14.5 | 1% | — | 3% | — |
Total under 71.5 | — | — | 2% | — |
Total under 59.5 | — | — | 2% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 0.5 | — | — | 1% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 21.5 | — | — | 1% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 27.5 | — | — | 1% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 31.5 | — | — | 1% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs spread plus 8.5 | — | — | 1% | — |
Cal Poly wins by over 10.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Cal Poly wins by over 13.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Cal Poly wins by over 14.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Cal Poly wins by over 16.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Cal Poly wins by over 17.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Cal Poly wins by over 4.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Cal Poly wins by over 5.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Cal Poly wins by over 6.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Cal Poly wins by over 7.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Cal Poly wins by over 9.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Idaho wins by over 11.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Idaho wins by over 9.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 74.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 77.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Total over 37.5 | — | — | 1% | — |
Total over 51.5 | — | — | 1% | — |
Total over 61.5 | — | — | 1% | — |
Total over 67.5 | — | — | 1% | — |
Total under 73.5 | — | — | 1% | — |
Idaho Vandals spread minus 6.5 | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Total over 75.5 | — | — | 0% | — |
Total under 75.5 | — | — | 0% | — |
Total under 55.5 | — | — | 0% | — |
Cal Poly Mustangs
99.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cal Poly wins the Idaho vs Cal Poly college football game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 28 at 10:00PM ET: If Idaho wins, the market will resolve to "Idaho". If Cal Poly wins, the market will resolve to "Cal Poly". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Vandals vs Mustangs College Football game scheduled for Aug 28, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Cal Poly Mustangs: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Idaho Vandals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 9.3¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 9.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Cal Poly Mustangs at 99.1¢ implies about a 99.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.