About This Market
North Carolina Tar Heels vs.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. TCU Horned Frogs — College Football game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for North Carolina Tar Heels vs. TCU Horned Frogs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

College Football·Resolved 2026-08-29
This market resolved on 2026-08-29. North Carolina Tar Heels was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 94%.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. TCU Horned Frogs — College Football game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Total under 29.5 | — | — | 100% | — |
Total under 31.5 | — | — | 100% | — |
Total under 51.5 | — | — | 100% | — |
Total under 59.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 17.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 0.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 31.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 34.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
North Carolina wins by over 1.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
North Carolina wins by over 2.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
North Carolina wins by over 3.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
North Carolina wins by over 4.5 points | 99% | — | — | — |
Total under 61.5 | — | — | 99% | — |
Total under 46.5 | — | — | 96% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 27.5 | — | — | 92% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 24.5 | — | — | 90% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 6.5 | — | — | 85% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 21.5 | — | — | 81% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 7.5 | — | — | 78% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 20.5 | — | — | 77% | — |
Total under 63.5 | — | — | 76% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 3.5 | — | — | 71% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 16.5 | — | — | 70% | — |
Total under 67.5 | — | — | 70% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 13.5 | — | — | 68% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 67% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 14.5 | — | — | 67% | — |
Total under 47.5 | — | — | 66% | — |
Total under 27.5 | — | — | 65% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 9.5 | — | — | 65% | — |
Total over 45.5 | 1% | — | 65% | — |
Total under 39.5 | — | — | 65% | — |
Total over 41.5 | — | — | 63% | — |
Total under 57.5 | — | — | 63% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 4.5 | 1% | — | 61% | — |
North Carolina Tar HeelsWINNER | 99% | 33% | 100% | 88% |
Total over 43.5 | — | — | 60% | — |
Total over 51.5 | 1% | — | 60% | — |
Total under 49.5 | — | — | 59% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 5.5 | — | — | 58% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 8.5 | — | — | 56% | — |
Total under 33.5 | — | — | 54% | — |
Total over 31.5 | — | — | 53% | — |
Total under 53.5 | — | — | 53% | — |
Total under 55.5 | — | — | 53% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 10.5 | — | — | 52% | — |
Total under 35.5 | — | — | 51% | — |
Total under 65.5 | — | — | 51% | — |
Total over 37.5 | — | — | 50% | — |
Total under 37.5 | — | — | 50% | — |
Total over 35.5 | — | — | 50% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 10.5 | 1% | — | 48% | — |
Total over 53.5 | — | — | 48% | — |
Total over 55.5 | — | — | 48% | — |
Total over 33.5 | 1% | — | 46% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 8.5 | — | — | 44% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 5.5 | 1% | — | 42% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs | 1% | 67% | 0% | 16% |
Total over 49.5 | 1% | — | 41% | — |
Total under 43.5 | — | — | 40% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 4.5 | — | — | 38% | — |
Total over 57.5 | 1% | — | 37% | — |
Total under 41.5 | — | — | 37% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 9.5 | 1% | — | 35% | — |
Total over 39.5 | 1% | — | 35% | — |
Total under 45.5 | — | — | 35% | — |
Total over 27.5 | 1% | — | 35% | — |
Total over 47.5 | 1% | — | 34% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 33% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 13.5 | 1% | — | 32% | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 31% | — |
Total over 67.5 | — | — | 31% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 16.5 | 1% | — | 30% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | 29% | — |
Total over 63.5 | 1% | — | 24% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 20.5 | 1% | — | 23% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 7.5 | 1% | — | 22% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 21.5 | 1% | — | 19% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 6.5 | 1% | — | 15% | — |
North Carolina wins by over 9.5 points | 13% | — | — | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 24.5 | 1% | — | 10% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 27.5 | 1% | — | 8% | — |
Total over 46.5 | 1% | — | 4% | — |
North Carolina wins by over 10.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
North Carolina wins by over 11.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
North Carolina wins by over 13.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
North Carolina wins by over 14.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
North Carolina wins by over 5.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
North Carolina wins by over 6.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
North Carolina wins by over 7.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 30.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 36.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 42.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 48.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 50.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 54.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 60.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 66.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 69.5 points scored | 1% | — | — | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 14.5 | 1% | — | — | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 17.5 | 1% | — | — | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | — |
TCU wins by over 11.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
TCU wins by over 23.5 points | 1% | — | — | — |
Total over 59.5 | — | — | 1% | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 0.5 | — | — | — | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 31.5 | — | — | — | — |
TCU Horned Frogs spread minus 34.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 29.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 61.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 65.5 | — | — | — | — |
North Carolina Tar Heels
80.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf North Carolina wins the North Carolina vs TCU college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the North Carolina vs TCU college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026. If the game is postponed from its originally scheduled date but begins within 48 hours, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to the a fair market price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 29 at 12:00PM ET: If North Carolina wins, the market will resolve to "North Carolina". If TCU wins, the market will resolve to "TCU". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Tar Heels vs Horned Frogs College Football game scheduled for Aug 29, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If a tied final score is reported and no official winner is declared, this market will not resolve automatically and will be reviewed against the official governing-body result. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are North Carolina Tar Heels: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 88.3¢ on ProphetX, 33.0¢ on Polymarket US; TCU Horned Frogs: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 15.7¢ on ProphetX, 67.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 66.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, North Carolina Tar Heels at 80.1¢ implies about a 80.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.