Traders give North Texas Mean Green about a 88.3% chance. Memphis Tigers follows at 65.5%, UAB Blazers follows at 42.3%, and Tulsa Golden Hurricane follows at 39.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 73.5 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: College Football AAC Championship Game Qualifiers
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Tulane qualifies for the 2026 College Football American Athletic Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
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This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 American Conference Championship Game.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 American Conference Championship Game (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 American Conference Championship Game is cancelled, postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 American Conference Championship Game matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the American Conference; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines the qualifiers for the AAC Championship Game?
Qualifiers are determined by the teams' performance during the regular season and their standings within the conference. The top teams based on win-loss records will earn a spot in the championship game.
When does trading close for this market?
Trading for this market is scheduled to close on December 6, 2026. This deadline aligns with the timing of the championship game qualifiers.
How do odds change in this market?
Odds fluctuate based on team performances, including wins, losses, and other relevant metrics throughout the season. Key events such as injuries or major upsets can also impact the odds.
What does the College Football AAC Championship Game Qualifiers prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest College Football AAC Championship Game Qualifiers odds?
The latest available prices are North Texas Mean Green: 80.5¢ on Kalshi, 96.0¢ on Polymarket; Memphis Tigers: 64.0¢ on Kalshi, 67.0¢ on Polymarket; UAB Blazers: 5.5¢ on Kalshi, 79.0¢ on Polymarket; Tulsa Golden Hurricane: 6.0¢ on Kalshi, 73.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.