Costco raises hot dog combo price?
Live prediction market odds for Costco raises hot dog combo price?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Best price · tap to trade
Compare all 4 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give Before 2030 about a 30.5% chance. Before 2029 follows at 22.5%, Before 2028 follows at 14.0%, and Costco increases hotdog price before 2027 follows at 3.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.1 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Costco announces a price increase for a hot dog combo by Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketCostco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Costco may consider rising ingredient costs, supply chain disruptions, and overall inflation when deciding on price adjustments. Consumer demand and competitive pricing strategies also play a crucial role.
The price of Costco's hot dog combo is often viewed as a barometer for inflation and consumer purchasing power. Changes in this price can indicate shifts in the broader retail market.
Costco has famously kept its hot dog combo price low for decades, making it a staple for customers. Any increase would mark a significant shift in their pricing strategy and customer expectations.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Before 2030: 30.5¢ on Kalshi; Before 2029: 22.5¢ on Kalshi; Before 2028: 14.0¢ on Kalshi; Costco increases hotdog price before 2027: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 5.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
