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Live prediction market odds for Costco raises hot dog combo price?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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Costco raises hot dog combo price?

2026-12-31

Best price · tap to trade

Before 202814¢7.14xKalshiCostco increases hotdog price before 20274¢25.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Before 2028 about a 14.0% chance. Costco increases hotdog price before 2027 follows at 5.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.0 percentage points.

Traders give Before 2028 about a 14.0% chance. Costco increases hotdog price before 2027 follows at 5.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking whether Costco will raise the price of its hot dog combo before 2027. This event is closely watched as it reflects broader inflation trends and consumer pricing strategies in the retail sector.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
B2
Before 2028
single venue14%
Kalshi14¢
—
Kalshi7.14x14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
14.0%11¢14¢86¢89¢
CI
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027ARB
5%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket10¢
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%2¢4¢96¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
8.0%6¢10¢90¢94¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Costco
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread6.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Before 2028

14.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Costco raises hot dog combo price?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Costco announces a price increase for a hot dog combo by Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Costco
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

Costco is known for selling cheap hot dogs. As of December 2, 2025, the Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo is $1.50. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of a standard Costco hot dog and 20 oz soda combo before tax exceeds $1.50 in any Costco store in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Costco announces they will increase the price, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether that change is actually implemented. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Costco, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors could influence Costco's decision to raise prices?

Costco may consider rising ingredient costs, supply chain disruptions, and overall inflation when deciding on price adjustments. Consumer demand and competitive pricing strategies also play a crucial role.

How does the price of Costco's hot dog combo relate to economic trends?

The price of Costco's hot dog combo is often viewed as a barometer for inflation and consumer purchasing power. Changes in this price can indicate shifts in the broader retail market.

What is the historical context of Costco's hot dog combo pricing?

Costco has famously kept its hot dog combo price low for decades, making it a staple for customers. Any increase would mark a significant shift in their pricing strategy and customer expectations.

What does the Costco raises hot dog combo price prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Costco raises hot dog combo price odds?

The latest available prices are Before 2028: 14.0¢ on Kalshi; Costco increases hotdog price before 2027: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 8.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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