About This Market
Traders give December 31 about a 2.9% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.3 percentage points.
Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei meet before Jan 1, 2027?
Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei meet before Jan 1, 2027?
Live prediction market odds for Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei meet before Jan 1, 2027?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Traders give December 31 about a 2.9% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.3 percentage points.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei meet (including phone calls) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
A meeting is defined as any of the following: An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive): Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations The following do NOT qualify as meetings: Being present at the same event without direct interaction Exchanging written correspondence Communication through intermediaries without direct contact Pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication Meetings cancelled after being scheduled Near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not
The market resolves if Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei have a confirmed meeting before January 1, 2027. Any public acknowledgment or documentation of the meeting will suffice.
Odds can change based on diplomatic interactions, statements from either party, or changes in international relations. Significant events, such as sanctions or negotiations, may also impact perceptions of a potential meeting.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the potential meeting between Donald Trump and Mojtaba Khamenei. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are December 31: 3.5¢ on Kalshi, 2.2¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
