Traders give Coventry City about a 55.5% chance. Hull City follows at 54.8%, Crystal Palace follows at 40.8%, and Manchester City follows at 36.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 10.0 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: EPL Relegation
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Arsenal is relegated from the EPL in 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
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This market will settle to Yes if Arsenal FC is relegated from the Premier League at the end of the 2026-2027 season. Outcome sourced from Premier League.
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines which teams are relegated in the EPL?
Relegation in the English Premier League occurs based on the final league standings at the end of the season. The three teams with the lowest points are relegated to the lower division.
When does the EPL season end?
The English Premier League season typically concludes in May each year. However, the specific date for the end of the 2026-2027 season will be confirmed closer to that time.
How do odds change in the EPL Relegation market?
Odds in the EPL Relegation market fluctuate based on team performances, injuries, and other developments throughout the season. Significant events, such as a team's losing streak or a managerial change, can lead to rapid shifts in odds.
What does the EPL Relegation prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest EPL Relegation odds?
The latest available prices are Coventry City: 55.5¢ on Kalshi; Hull City: 55.0¢ on Kalshi, 54.5¢ on Polymarket US; Crystal Palace: 44.0¢ on Kalshi, 37.5¢ on Polymarket US; Manchester City: 36.5¢ on Kalshi, 36.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.