Traders give Arsenal about a 96.7% chance. Liverpool follows at 69.3%, Brighton follows at 65.3%, and Manchester City follows at 48.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.0 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: EPL Top 4 Finishers
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Tottenham is a top 4 finisher in the 2026-27 EPL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 4 (positions 1 through 4) of the final standings of the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season (e.g., they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie for the final top-4 position, this market will resolve based on the clubs officially recognized by the Premier League as finishing in the top 4 of the final standings.
If the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no final standings declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines the resolution of the EPL Top 4 Finishers market?
The market resolves based on the final standings of the English Premier League. The top four teams in the league at the end of the season qualify for the UEFA Champions League.
When does the EPL Top 4 Finishers market close?
The market closes on May 30, 2027, coinciding with the conclusion of the EPL season. All final standings must be confirmed by that date.
How do odds fluctuate in the EPL Top 4 Finishers market?
Odds in this market change based on team performances, injuries, and match results throughout the season. Key events like transfers and managerial changes can also impact the odds.
What does the EPL Top 4 Finishers prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest EPL Top 4 Finishers odds?
The latest available prices are Arsenal: 96.0¢ on Kalshi, 97.5¢ on Polymarket; Liverpool: 70.5¢ on Kalshi, 68.0¢ on Polymarket; Brighton: 66.0¢ on Kalshi, 64.5¢ on Polymarket; Manchester City: 50.5¢ on Kalshi, 45.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.