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Live prediction market odds for EPL Top 4 Finishers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

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EPL Top 4 Finishers

2027-05-30

Best price · tap to trade

Arsenal97¢1.03xKalshiManchester City69¢1.45xKalshiLiverpool72¢1.39xKalshi
Compare all 20 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Arsenal about a 96.5% chance. Manchester City follows at 66.5%, Liverpool follows at 66.3%, and Chelsea follows at 52.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 12.5 percentage points.

Traders give Arsenal about a 96.5% chance. Manchester City follows at 66.5%, Liverpool follows at 66.3%, and Chelsea follows at 52.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 12.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the EPL Top 4 Finishers for the 2026-2027 season. The market resolves based on the final standings of the English Premier League, with the top four teams qualifying for the UEFA Champions League by May 30, 2027.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
A
Arsenal
97%
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket97¢
Kalshi1.03x97¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.0%92¢97¢3¢8¢
PolymarketPolymarket
96.0%95¢97¢3¢5¢
MC
Manchester City
67%
Kalshi69¢
Polymarket73¢
Kalshi1.45x69¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
62.0%62¢69¢31¢38¢
PolymarketPolymarket
71.0%67¢73¢27¢33¢
L
Liverpool
66%
Kalshi72¢
Polymarket67¢
Kalshi1.39x72¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
66.0%60¢72¢28¢40¢
PolymarketPolymarket
66.5%66¢67¢33¢34¢
C
ChelseaARB
52%
Kalshi50¢
Polymarket54¢
Kalshi2.00x50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%48¢50¢50¢52¢
PolymarketPolymarket
54.0%53¢54¢46¢47¢
MU
Manchester United
31%
Kalshi35¢
Polymarket32¢
Kalshi2.86x35¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
32.0%29¢35¢65¢71¢
PolymarketPolymarket
30.5%29¢32¢68¢71¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread12.5%
Platforms2
Candidates20
Leader

Arsenal

96.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: EPL Top 4 Finishers

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tottenham is a top 4 finisher in the 2026-27 EPL season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 4 (positions 1 through 4) of the final standings of the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season (e.g., they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie for the final top-4 position, this market will resolve based on the clubs officially recognized by the Premier League as finishing in the top 4 of the final standings. If the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are otherwise no final standings declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the resolution of the EPL Top 4 Finishers market?

The market resolves based on the final standings of the English Premier League. The top four teams in the league at the end of the season qualify for the UEFA Champions League.

When does the EPL Top 4 Finishers market close?

The market closes on May 30, 2027, coinciding with the conclusion of the EPL season. All final standings must be confirmed by that date.

How do odds fluctuate in the EPL Top 4 Finishers market?

Odds in this market change based on team performances, injuries, and match results throughout the season. Key events like transfers and managerial changes can also impact the odds.

What does the EPL Top 4 Finishers prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest EPL Top 4 Finishers odds?

The latest available prices are Arsenal: 97.0¢ on Kalshi, 96.0¢ on Polymarket; Manchester City: 62.0¢ on Kalshi, 71.0¢ on Polymarket; Liverpool: 66.0¢ on Kalshi, 66.5¢ on Polymarket; Chelsea: 50.0¢ on Kalshi, 54.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Man City Top 4 Odds Fall to 62% After Guilty Verdict on 114 ChargesCity convicted on 114 of 115 Premier League financial charges; relegation is now priced at 18%, with sanctions ranging from points deductions to expulsion still to be determined.Sep 28, 2026Manchester City's Top 4 Odds Halved Despite Perfect 5-0 StartCity lead the Premier League on 15 points from five games, yet their Top 4 probability fell 46 points in 72 hours, driven by competitive repricing across rival clubs.Sep 25, 2026