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Live prediction market odds for Newcastle United vs. Aston Villa. Compare prices across .

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Newcastle United vs. Aston Villa Final Score & Odds

Premier League · Sat, Oct 17, 2026

All games7:30 PM UTCSoccer7:30 PM UTCLEG40¢BUR31¢
Soccer/EPL/Newcastle United vs Aston Villa
  1. 90+1'
    Stoppage time

    6 minutes of stoppage time announced.

  2. 90'
    NEW
    Substitution

    Dan Burn comes on for Joelinton Cassio Apolinario de Lira.

  3. 86'
    NEW
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Malick Thiaw.

  4. 78'
    NEW
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for W Osula.

  5. 77'
    AVL
    Substitution

    Pau Torres comes on for Aaron Wan-Bissaka.

  6. 72'
    AVL
    Substitution

    Ibrahim Mbaye comes on for Johan Manzambi.

  7. 72'
    AVL
    Substitution

    R Barkley comes on for João Gomes.

  8. 72'
    AVL
    Substitution

    Leon Goretzka comes on for Emiliano Buendía Stati.

  9. 56'
    NEW
    Substitution

    W Osula comes on for Joseph Willock.

  10. 56'
    NEW
    Substitution

    Bazoumana Toure comes on for Matias Fernandez Pardo.

  11. 55'
    NEW
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Yoane Wissa.

  12. 53'
    NEW
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Nico Gonzalez.

  13. 45+1'
    Stoppage time

    2 minutes of stoppage time announced.

  14. 36'
    AVL
    Goal0-1

    J. Manzambi

    Assist: J. Gomes

  15. 28'
    AVL
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Alysson Edward.

  16. 25'
    AVL
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for João Gomes.

  17. 18'
    NEW
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Sven Botman.

  18. 18'
    NEW
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Joelinton Cassio Apolinario de Lira.

Full timeEPL · St James' Park
NEWNewcastle United · 2-2-3
0
FT
Full time
AVLAston Villa · 2-2-3
1
Pressure by minute
36' ManzambiHTFT
90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'90+6'90+7'FT
NEW0–1AVL
NEW attack →← AVL attack
Full time
Win chanceFTNEW win–Draw–AVL win–
90+5'NEW · Caught offside.
90+5'NEW · Shot blocked.

Match winner · 90 minutes

G0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT
Full timeEPL · St James' Park
NEWNewcastle United · 2-2-3
0
FT
Full time
AVLAston Villa · 2-2-3
1
  1. 36'Goal 0-1J. Manzambi · assist J. Gomes

Match replay

Pressure by minute
36' ManzambiHTFT
90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'90+6'90+7'FT
NEW0–1AVL
NEW attack →← AVL attack
Full time
Win chanceFTNEW win–Draw–AVL win–
90+5'NEW · Caught offside.
90+5'NEW · Shot blocked.

Team stats

ShowHide
1H2HT
NEW000
AVL101
NEW

Team stats

AVL
47%Possession53%
16Shots15
1On target3
4Corners5
33%Time attacking31%
23%Time in danger zone16%
14Fouls11
5Offsides0
6Yellow cards2

Match winner · 90 minutes

G0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT

Closing odds

QuestionResult
Aston VillaWINNER
Yes
Draw
No
Newcastle United
No
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9

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Market rulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Newcastle United vs. Aston Villa

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tie is the result of the Newcastle vs Aston Villa professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Newcastle vs Aston Villa professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Draw in Aston Villa FC @ Newcastle United FC (EPL); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 17, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Newcastle United FC vs Aston Villa FC Premier League match scheduled for 2026-10-17 12:30PM ET. If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from Premier League.

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Closing odds

QuestionKick-off
Aston VillaWINNER
30¢
Draw
26¢
Newcastle United
45¢

Market recap

Aston Villa beat Newcastle United 1-0. At kick-off the market gave Aston Villa a 30% chance, behind Newcastle United at 45%. Goals: J. Manzambi 36'. Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket and Polymarket US settled the market on Aston Villa.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Frequently asked questions

What does the Newcastle United vs. Aston Villa prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Newcastle United vs. Aston Villa odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Newcastle United vs. Aston Villa odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Newcastle United vs. Aston Villa prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.