About This Market
Traders give Fed maintains rate about a 92.5% chance. Hike 25bps follows at 5.5%, Cut 25bps follows at 2.5%, and Cut >25bps follows at 1.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Fed decision in Dec 2027?
Live prediction market odds for Fed decision in Dec 2027?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Compare all 5 outcomes across 1 venueTraders give Fed maintains rate about a 92.5% chance. Hike 25bps follows at 5.5%, Cut 25bps follows at 2.5%, and Cut >25bps follows at 1.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
KalshiKalshiOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on December 08, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
The Fed considers various economic indicators, including inflation rates, employment figures, and GDP growth. Changes in these metrics can lead to adjustments in monetary policy.
The Federal Reserve typically meets eight times a year to review economic conditions and make decisions regarding interest rates. Additional meetings may be called if urgent economic issues arise.
Possible outcomes include maintaining the current interest rate, increasing it, or decreasing it. Each outcome can have different effects on borrowing costs, investment, and consumer behavior.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Fed maintains rate: 92.5¢ on Kalshi; Hike 25bps: 5.5¢ on Kalshi; Cut 25bps: 2.5¢ on Kalshi; Cut >25bps: 1.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.