About This Market
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
Live prediction market odds for Fed rate hike in 2026?. Compare prices across .

Resolved 2026-12-09T00:00:00+00:00
This market resolved on 2026-12-09T00:00:00+00:00. Fed rate hike in 2026 was the officially declared outcome.
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
| Candidate |
|---|
Fed rate hike in 2026WINNER |
Fed rate hike in 2026
0.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.