Live prediction market odds for Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Texas State Bobcats. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Traders give Texas State Bobcats about a 76.4% chance. Fresno State Bulldogs follows at 23.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.3 percentage points.
KalshiPolymarket USNovigPolymarketProphetXBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX and Underdog.
KalshiIf Fresno St. wins the Fresno St. vs Texas St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigFresno State Bulldogs in Fresno State @ Texas State (NCAAF); settled by Novig.
PolymarketIn the upcoming college football game between Fresno State and Texas State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Fresno State vs Texas State college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 4:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
UnderdogFRES @ TXST Moneyline: Fresno St to win in FRES @ TXST; settled by Underdog.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Texas State Bobcats: 76.5¢ on Kalshi, 76.5¢ on Polymarket, 76.2¢ on ProphetX, 76.5¢ on Polymarket US, 76.3¢ on Novig; Fresno State Bulldogs: 23.5¢ on Kalshi, 23.5¢ on Polymarket, 23.8¢ on ProphetX, 23.5¢ on Polymarket US, 23.8¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.3 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Texas State Bobcats at 76.4¢ implies about a 76.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
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Trader up $4.8M lifetime bought $2.4K of Fresno State (+9.5) at 48¢
1d agoSpread: Texas State (-9.5)Trade on Polymarket US 
