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Live prediction market odds for FedEx St. Jude Championship End of Round 1 Leader. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

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Kalshi / Polymarket US

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FedEx St. Jude Championship End of Round 1 Leader

2026-08-16

Best price · tap to trade

Jake Knapp19¢5.26xKalshiJordan Spieth18¢5.56xPolymarket USMichael Thorbjornsen14¢7.14xPolymarket US
Compare all 36 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Jake Knapp about a 21.4% chance. Jordan Spieth follows at 18.7%, Michael Thorbjornsen follows at 16.9%, and Kurt Kitayama follows at 16.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 11.1 percentage points.

Traders give Jake Knapp about a 21.4% chance. Jordan Spieth follows at 18.7%, Michael Thorbjornsen follows at 16.9%, and Kurt Kitayama follows at 16.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket US. The largest cross-platform price difference is 11.1 percentage points.

Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the FedEx St. Jude Championship End of Round 1 Leader. This event is pivotal as it sets the tone for the tournament, influencing player momentum and fan engagement leading into the weekend rounds.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Best price
JK
Jake KnappARB
21%
Kalshi19¢
Polymarket US24¢
Kalshi5.26x19¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
18.0%17¢19¢81¢83¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
23.0%22¢24¢76¢78¢
JS
Jordan Spieth
18%
Kalshi19¢
Polymarket US18¢
Polymarket US5.43x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
18.0%17¢19¢81¢83¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
17.0%16¢18¢82¢84¢
MT
Michael ThorbjornsenARB
16%
Kalshi20¢
Polymarket US14¢
Polymarket US7.19x14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
19.0%18¢20¢80¢82¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
13.0%12¢14¢86¢88¢
KK
Kurt KitayamaARB
16%
Kalshi19¢
Polymarket US14¢
Polymarket US7.30x14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
18.0%17¢19¢81¢83¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
13.0%12¢14¢86¢88¢
MK
Michael KimARB
13%
Kalshi19¢
Polymarket US8¢
Polymarket US12.66x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
18.0%17¢19¢81¢83¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
7.0%6¢8¢92¢94¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket US

Candidate Spotlight

About Scottie Scheffler

Scottie Scheffler is the current world number one golfer on the PGA Tour. He has won four major championships, including the Masters Tournament in 2022 and 2024. His consistent performance and leadership in the sport make him a strong contender in any tournament.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread11.1%
Platforms2
Candidates36
Leader

Jake Knapp

21.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: FedEx St. Jude Championship End of Round 1 Leader

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Pierceson Coody is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If multiple participants are tied for the lead at the end of the round, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied participants, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if Pierceson Coody leads the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship at the end of Round 1 scheduled for August 13-16, 2026. If two or more players are tied for the lead, each leader's market will settle at $1.00 divided by the number of leaders, rounded down to the nearest cent. If the listed player forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate in the round, the market will settle to No. If the round is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two days of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from PGA Tour.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the End of Round 1 Leader?

Odds are influenced by player performance in previous rounds, course conditions, and weather forecasts. Additionally, betting patterns and public sentiment can also shift the odds.

How does the End of Round 1 Leader impact the tournament?

The leader after Round 1 can gain a psychological advantage, affecting their confidence and strategy in subsequent rounds. This position can also impact the strategies of other competitors as they adjust to the leader's performance.

When does the FedEx St. Jude Championship take place?

The FedEx St. Jude Championship is scheduled for August 16, 2026. This tournament is part of the PGA Tour and attracts top golfers from around the world.

What does the FedEx St. Jude Championship End of Round 1 Leader prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest FedEx St. Jude Championship End of Round 1 Leader odds?

The latest available prices are Jake Knapp: 19.0¢ on Kalshi, 23.9¢ on Polymarket US; Jordan Spieth: 19.0¢ on Kalshi, 18.4¢ on Polymarket US; Michael Thorbjornsen: 20.0¢ on Kalshi, 13.9¢ on Polymarket US; Kurt Kitayama: 19.0¢ on Kalshi, 13.7¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction Market Track Record

Masters Tournament Winner?LOSTPre-event: 8%
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Winner?LOSTPre-event: 0%
The Genesis Invitational Winner?LOSTPre-event: 2%
The Genesis Invitational End Of Round 1 LeaderLOSTPre-event: 1%
Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner?LOSTPre-event: 17%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Masters Tournament Winner?

Resolved

2026-04-13

LOSTScottie Scheffler
Pre-event: 8%

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Winner?

Resolved

2026-02-15

LOSTScottie Scheffler
Pre-event: 0%

The Genesis Invitational Winner?

Resolved

2026-02-22

LOSTScottie Scheffler
Pre-event: 2%

The Genesis Invitational End Of Round 1 Leader

Resolved

2026-02-22

LOSTScottie Scheffler
Pre-event: 1%

Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner?

Resolved

2026-03-08

LOSTScottie Scheffler
Pre-event: 17%