Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner
Live prediction market odds for Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo about a 43.5% chance. The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean follows at 21.6%, Lux - Rosalía follows at 19.5%, and The Life of a Showgirl - Taylor Swift follows at 6.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love has won Album of the Year at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Grammys. Any references to the Grammys, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Grammys and Kalshi.
PolymarketThe GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed album that wins Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an album is not officially nominated for Album of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated album whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
The winner is determined by the votes of the Recording Academy members. The voting process considers various factors, including artistic merit and commercial success.
Trading closes on February 7, 2027, prior to the Grammy ceremony. This deadline allows traders to adjust their positions based on the latest developments.
New album releases can significantly impact the odds as they generate public interest and critical reviews. As albums are released, traders adjust their expectations based on perceived quality and popularity.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo: 45.5¢ on Kalshi, 41.5¢ on Polymarket; The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean: 20.5¢ on Kalshi, 22.7¢ on Polymarket; Lux - Rosalía: 19.5¢ on Kalshi, 19.5¢ on Polymarket; The Life of a Showgirl - Taylor Swift: 6.5¢ on Kalshi, 6.7¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
