Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - 3% Chance (Live)

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Live Markets

2 platforms

OutcomeConsensus

Polymarket

Predict.fun

Best price

HP

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

3%

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Polymarket	2.5%	2¢	3¢	98¢	98¢
Predict.fun	3.0%	2¢	4¢	96¢	98¢

Polymarket

Predict.fun

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.fun

Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What triggers the resolution of the Hantavirus pandemic market?

The market resolves based on the number of confirmed Hantavirus cases and any public health declarations made by January 1, 2027. Specific thresholds for case counts or declarations are not publicly detailed.

How do odds change for this event?

Odds for the Hantavirus pandemic market fluctuate based on new health reports, scientific findings, and any emerging outbreaks. Increased reports of cases or health alerts may lead to higher odds.

When is the final resolution date for this market?

The final resolution date for the Hantavirus pandemic market is January 1, 2027. All developments leading up to this date will influence the market's outcome.

What does the Hantavirus pandemic in 2026 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Hantavirus pandemic in 2026 odds?

The latest available prices are Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?: 2.5¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.