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Live prediction market odds for GA-10 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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GA-10 House winner?

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Houston Gaines (R)96¢1.04xKalshiDemocratic5¢20.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Houston Gaines (R) about a 95.0% chance. Democratic follows at 4.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Traders give Houston Gaines (R) about a 95.0% chance. Democratic follows at 4.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the GA-10 House race, set to be decided on November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the official election results announced by the state election office following the voting process in that district.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
HG
Houston Gaines (R)
95%
Kalshi96¢
Polymarket US97¢
Polymarket95¢
Kalshi1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
94.0%90¢96¢4¢10¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
96.5%96¢97¢3¢4¢
PolymarketPolymarket
94.4%94¢95¢5¢6¢
D
Democratic
5%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket US5¢
Polymarket5¢
Polymarket US20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.8%3¢9¢91¢97¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
5.0%3¢5¢95¢97¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.7%2¢5¢95¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Houston Gaines (R)

Houston Gaines is a Republican member of the Georgia House of Representatives, representing District 120 since 2023. He previously served District 117 from 2019 to 2023. Gaines is a candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in Georgia's 10th congressional district, with endorsements from President Donald Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Houston Gaines (R)

95.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: GA-10 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for GA-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the GA-10 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the GA-10 House winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, coinciding with the general election date for the House race.

How will the winner of the GA-10 House race be determined?

The winner is determined by the official election results released by the state election office after the election concludes.

Which platforms are tracking the GA-10 House winner?

Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking the GA-10 House winner market.

What does the GA-10 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest GA-10 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Houston Gaines (R): 94.0¢ on Kalshi, 94.4¢ on Polymarket, 96.5¢ on Polymarket US; Democratic: 5.8¢ on Kalshi, 3.7¢ on Polymarket, 5.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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