Live prediction market odds for Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 7, 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
Resolved 2026-08-07
This market resolved on 2026-08-07. 91° to 92° was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the highest temperature in NYC on August 7, 2026.
Kalshi and Polymarket US are tracking the highest temperature in NYC on August 7, 2026. This event is significant as it reflects climate trends and can influence energy consumption, public health, and urban planning efforts in the city.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
91° to 92°WINNER | 99% | 99% |
88° or below | 1% | 1% |
89° to 90° | 1% | 1% |
93° to 94° | 1% | 1% |
91° to 92°
99.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for August 07, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 89°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.
Polymarket USWill the highest temperature recorded at Central Park (KNYC) in New York City for 2026-08-07 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) be less than or equal to 88F? Outcome verified from NWS Climatological Report.
Predictions are influenced by historical weather patterns, climate change projections, and current meteorological data. Seasonal variations and atmospheric conditions leading up to the date also play a crucial role.
Accurate temperature predictions can guide infrastructure development, energy resource management, and public health initiatives. City planners may adjust strategies for heatwaves, ensuring adequate cooling centers and energy supply.
Extreme temperatures can lead to increased energy demand, health risks for vulnerable populations, and strain on public services. Understanding these predictions helps cities prepare for potential heat-related challenges.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are 91° to 92°: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; 88° or below: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US; 89° to 90°: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US; 93° to 94°: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
