Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress

2027-03-14

Best price · tap to trade

Tao Okamoto4¢25.00xKalshiMariana di Girolamo1¢100.00xKalshiBetty Gilpin4¢25.00xKalshi
Compare all 9 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Tao Okamoto about a 8.9% chance. Mariana di Girolamo follows at 3.8%, Betty Gilpin follows at 3.0%, and Margaret Qualley follows at 2.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 13.7 percentage points.

Traders give Tao Okamoto about a 8.9% chance. Mariana di Girolamo follows at 3.8%, Betty Gilpin follows at 3.0%, and Margaret Qualley follows at 2.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 13.7 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Oscar Winner for Best Supporting Actress. This award influences industry recognition and can significantly impact the careers of nominees, making it a focal point during the awards season.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
TO
Tao OkamotoARB
9%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket21¢
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%0¢4¢96¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
15.7%10¢21¢79¢90¢
MD
Mariana di Girolamo
4%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket12¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.7%1¢12¢88¢99¢
BG
Betty Gilpin
3%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket7¢
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢4¢96¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%3¢7¢93¢97¢
MQ
Margaret Qualley
2%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket6¢
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%1¢4¢96¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.6%1¢6¢94¢99¢
IR
Isabella Rossellini
2%
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket6¢
Kalshi100.00x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
1.0%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.5%1¢6¢94¢99¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Mariana di Girolamo

Mariana di Girolamo is a Chilean actress known for her roles in film and television. She gained international recognition for her performance in the 2019 film 'Ema' directed by Pablo Larraín. Her extensive experience and critical acclaim in the entertainment industry make her a notable figure in the field.

About Parker Posey

Parker Posey is an American actress known for her work in independent films and television series. She has received nominations for two Primetime Emmy Awards, two Golden Globe Awards, and two Independent Spirit Awards. Posey has a reputation for portraying eccentric characters and has been recognized as a leading figure in independent cinema.

About Inde Navarrette

Inde Navarrette is an American actress known for her role as Nikki in the 2026 horror film 'Obsession'. She gained recognition for portraying Estela de la Cruz in the Netflix series '13 Reasons Why' and Sarah Cushing in 'Superman & Lois'. Her performances have established her as a rising talent in the entertainment industry.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread13.7%
Platforms2
Candidates9
Leader

Tao Okamoto

8.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Mariana di Girolamo has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for Best Supporting Actress?

Odds can be influenced by factors such as critical acclaim, performance in major film festivals, and industry buzz leading up to the Oscars. Additionally, nominations and wins from other award shows can sway public perception and betting behavior.

How do prediction markets work for the Oscars?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes, such as Oscar winners. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of the market, adjusting as new information becomes available.

When will the Oscar Winner for Best Supporting Actress be announced?

The Oscar Winner for Best Supporting Actress will be announced during the Academy Awards ceremony on March 14, 2027. This event garners significant media attention and public interest.

What does the Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress odds?

The latest available prices are Tao Okamoto: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 15.7¢ on Polymarket; Mariana di Girolamo: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 6.7¢ on Polymarket; Betty Gilpin: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 5.0¢ on Polymarket; Margaret Qualley: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 3.6¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

Oscar Winner: Best Actor

View

Kylie Jenner and Timothee Chalamet engaged in 2026?

View

Which video games will release this year?

View

Oscar winner: Best Actress

View

Iveta Dapkute vs. Elizabeth Jurna

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds