Traders give Anne Hathaway about a 58.5% chance. Amanda Seyfried follows at 23.6%, Penélope Cruz follows at 9.0%, and Kate O'Flynn follows at 5.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.7 percentage points.
Inde Navarrette is an American actress known for her role as Nikki in the 2026 horror film 'Obsession'. She gained recognition for portraying Estela de la Cruz in the Netflix series '13 Reasons Why' and Sarah Cushing in 'Superman & Lois'. Her performances have established her as a rising talent in the entertainment industry.
About Mariana di Girolamo
Mariana di Girolamo is a Chilean actress known for her roles in film and television. She gained international recognition for her performance in the 2019 film 'Ema' directed by Pablo Larraín. Her extensive experience and critical acclaim in the entertainment industry make her a notable figure in the field.
About Parker Posey
Parker Posey is an American actress known for her work in independent films and television series. She has received nominations for two Primetime Emmy Awards, two Golden Globe Awards, and two Independent Spirit Awards. Posey has a reputation for portraying eccentric characters and has been recognized as a leading figure in independent cinema.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Mariana di Girolamo has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
What factors influence the odds for Best Supporting Actress?
Odds can be influenced by factors such as critical acclaim, performance in major film festivals, and industry buzz leading up to the Oscars. Additionally, nominations and wins from other award shows can sway public perception and betting behavior.
How do prediction markets work for the Oscars?
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes, such as Oscar winners. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of the market, adjusting as new information becomes available.
When will the Oscar Winner for Best Supporting Actress be announced?
The Oscar Winner for Best Supporting Actress will be announced during the Academy Awards ceremony on March 14, 2027. This event garners significant media attention and public interest.
What does the Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress odds?
The latest available prices are Anne Hathaway: 57.0¢ on Kalshi, 60.0¢ on Polymarket; Amanda Seyfried: 26.0¢ on Kalshi, 21.3¢ on Polymarket; Penélope Cruz: 9.5¢ on Kalshi, 8.5¢ on Polymarket; Kate O'Flynn: 5.5¢ on Kalshi, 5.3¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.