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Live prediction market odds for Hotstuff FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Hotstuff FDV above ___ one day after launch?

2028-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

$20M35¢2.86xPolymarket$80M25¢4.00xPolymarket$100M18¢5.56xPolymarket
Compare all 8 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give $20M about a 33.9% chance. $80M follows at 18.3%, $100M follows at 17.1%, and $150M follows at 8.4%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 16.2 percentage points.

Traders give $20M about a 33.9% chance. $80M follows at 18.3%, $100M follows at 17.1%, and $150M follows at 8.4%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 16.2 percentage points.

Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
$
$20M
34%
Polymarket35¢
Predict.fun37¢
Polymarket2.86x35¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
33.5%32¢35¢65¢68¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
34.3%31¢37¢63¢69¢
$
$80M
18%
Polymarket25¢
Predict.fun38¢
Polymarket4.00x25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
17.5%10¢25¢75¢90¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
19.1%0¢38¢62¢100¢
$
$100M
17%
Polymarket18¢
Predict.fun35¢
Polymarket5.56x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
16.5%15¢18¢82¢85¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
17.6%0¢35¢65¢100¢
$
$150M
8%
Polymarket18¢
Predict.fun31¢
Polymarket5.56x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
16.5%15¢18¢82¢85¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
0.3%0¢31¢69¢100¢
$
$50M
16%
Polymarket18¢
Predict.fun21¢
Polymarket5.56x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
17.0%15¢18¢82¢85¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
15.1%15¢21¢79¢85¢
PolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread16.2%
Platforms2
Candidates8
Leader

$20M

33.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Hotstuff FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hotstuff's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Hotstuff will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hotsuff (https://x.com/tradehotstuff) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Hotstuff FDV above ___ one day after launch prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Hotstuff FDV above ___ one day after launch odds?

The latest available prices are $20M: 33.5¢ on Polymarket, 34.3¢ on Predict.fun; $80M: 17.5¢ on Polymarket, 19.1¢ on Predict.fun; $100M: 16.5¢ on Polymarket, 17.6¢ on Predict.fun; $150M: 16.5¢ on Polymarket, 0.3¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Hotstuff FDV above ___ one day after launch odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 16.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Hotstuff FDV above ___ one day after launch prediction market payouts work?

For example, $20M at 33.9¢ implies about a 33.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily fading $50M

Smart Money Consensus$109
$109No
Smart Traders Split1
1No
Predict.funBuy No at 85¢

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