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Live prediction market odds for How high will Brazil inflation get this year?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

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How high will Brazil inflation get this year?

2027-01-08

Best price · tap to trade

Above 4.75%77¢1.30xKalshiAbove 5.00%46¢2.17xKalshiAbove 5.25%24¢4.17xKalshi
Compare all 10 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Above 4.75% about a 71.0% chance. Above 5.00% follows at 40.0%, Above 5.25% follows at 23.0%, and Above 6.00% follows at 7.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.2 percentage points.

Traders give Above 4.75% about a 71.0% chance. Above 5.00% follows at 40.0%, Above 5.25% follows at 23.0%, and Above 6.00% follows at 7.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.2 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking predictions on how high Brazil's inflation will reach in 2023. This market resolves based on the official inflation rate reported by Brazil's government on January 8, 2027, with odds fluctuating based on economic indicators and policy changes leading up to that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
A4
Above 4.75%
single venue71%
Kalshi77¢
—
Kalshi1.30x77¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
71.0%65¢77¢23¢35¢
A5
Above 5.00%
single venue40%
Kalshi46¢
—
Kalshi2.17x46¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
40.0%39¢46¢54¢61¢
A5
Above 5.25%
single venue23%
Kalshi24¢
—
Kalshi4.17x24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
23.0%17¢24¢76¢83¢
A6
Above 6.00%
single venue7%
Kalshi11¢
—
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%0¢11¢89¢100¢
A6
Above 6.25%
single venue5%
Kalshi10¢
—
Kalshi10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.0%0¢10¢90¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.2%
Platforms2
Candidates10
Leader

Above 4.75%

71.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: How high will Brazil inflation get this year?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 5.00% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for this market?

The market resolves based on the official inflation rate reported on January 8, 2027. This date is crucial for determining the final outcome of the predictions.

What factors influence the odds in this market?

Odds in this market are influenced by economic indicators such as GDP growth, monetary policy decisions, and global economic conditions. Changes in these factors can lead to significant shifts in market predictions.

How is Brazil's inflation measured?

Brazil's inflation is measured using the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which tracks the price changes of a basket of goods and services. This measurement is published by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).

How high will Brazil inflation get this year: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

How high will Brazil inflation get this year: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Above 4.75%: 71.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 5.00%: 40.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 5.25%: 23.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 6.00%: 7.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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