Live prediction market odds for How many launches will SpaceX have in July?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Resolved 2026-08-07
This market resolved on 2026-08-07. Above 10 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kalshi is tracking the number of launches SpaceX will conduct in July 2026.
Kalshi is tracking the number of launches SpaceX will conduct in July 2026. This event is significant as it reflects SpaceX's operational capacity and ambitions in the aerospace industry, influenced by technological advancements and project timelines.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
Above 10WINNER | 99% |
Above 11 | 99% |
Above 12 | 99% |
Above 13 | 99% |
Above 14 | 1% |
Above 15 | 1% |
Above 16 | 1% |
Above 18 | 1% |
Above 10
0.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf SpaceX has more than 10 launches in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Factors include project schedules, technical readiness, and regulatory approvals. Additionally, weather conditions can impact launch timelines.
Increased launch frequency can drive down costs and improve access to space for various missions. It also enhances competition among aerospace companies.
SpaceX has steadily increased its launch cadence over the years, with advancements in reusable rocket technology. This trend has positioned the company as a leader in the commercial space sector.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Above 10: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 11: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 12: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Above 13: 99.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
