Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner
Live prediction market odds for Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
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Compare all 4 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give Cheng Chao-fang about a 71.5% chance. Hsu Hsin-ying follows at 27.3%, Chen Chien-hsien follows at 0.1%, and Lin Szu-ming follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Hsu Hsin-ying wins the 2026 Hsinchu County magistrate election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
PolymarketTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
The winner is determined by the official election results announced after the voting concludes. Candidates compete for the position based on their campaign efforts and voter support.
Odds fluctuate based on various factors including candidate popularity, campaign events, and public opinion polls. Significant developments can lead to rapid changes in market sentiment.
Trading for this market closes on November 29, 2026. This deadline marks the end of betting on the outcome before the official results are announced.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Cheng Chao-fang: 72.5¢ on Kalshi, 70.5¢ on Polymarket; Hsu Hsin-ying: 27.0¢ on Kalshi, 27.5¢ on Polymarket; Chen Chien-hsien: 0.1¢ on Polymarket; Lin Szu-ming: 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
