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Live prediction market odds for Matthew Shearer vs. Yua Taka. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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Matthew Shearer vs. Yua Taka

ITF Men·2026-09-29

Best price · tap to trade

Yua Taka77¢1.30xPolymarket USMatthew Shearer23¢4.35xKalshi
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

About This Market

Traders give Yua Taka about a 76.7% chance. Matthew Shearer follows at 22.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.

Traders give Yua Taka about a 76.7% chance. Matthew Shearer follows at 22.7%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.

Matthew Shearer vs. Yua Taka: ITF Men's World Tennis Tour match scheduled for 2026-09-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi and Polymarket on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
YT
Yua Taka
77%
Kalshi81¢
Polymarket US77¢
Polymarket77¢
Polymarket US1.30x77¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
77.5%74¢81¢19¢26¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
76.5%76¢77¢23¢24¢
PolymarketPolymarket
76.0%75¢77¢23¢25¢
MS
Matthew Shearer
23%
Kalshi23¢
Polymarket US24¢
Polymarket25¢
Kalshi4.35x23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
20.5%18¢23¢77¢82¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
23.5%23¢24¢76¢77¢
PolymarketPolymarket
24.0%23¢25¢75¢77¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Yua Taka

76.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Matthew Shearer vs. Yua Taka

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket US.

Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Yua Taka vs Matthew Shearer ITF match scheduled for Sep 29, 2026. If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to $0.50. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to $0.50. Outcome sourced from ITF.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Matthew Shearer vs. Yua Taka prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Matthew Shearer vs. Yua Taka odds?

The latest available prices are Yua Taka: 77.5¢ on Kalshi, 76.0¢ on Polymarket, 76.5¢ on Polymarket US; Matthew Shearer: 20.5¢ on Kalshi, 24.0¢ on Polymarket, 23.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Matthew Shearer vs. Yua Taka odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 3.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Matthew Shearer vs. Yua Taka prediction market payouts work?

For example, Yua Taka at 76.7¢ implies about a 76.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.